Aidan Rubio
Eastern Mich. · 2025–26 · 30 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
293:01 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 30
- Minutes per game
- 9:46
- Points per game
- 2.8
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 1.3 / 0.4
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Per 40 minutes | 11.5 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Season totals | 84 | 39 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 11 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 32–82 | 39.0%† | 2.7 | 11.2 |
| 2P | 20–38 | 52.6%† | 1.3 | 5.2 |
| 3P | 12–44 | 27.3%† | 1.5 | 6.0 |
| FT | 8–13 | 61.5%† | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.3%† | 47.9%† | 53.7%† | 15.9%† | 1.18 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25); the field-goal floor applies to the derived rates above. Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
E Michigan · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $5K
- 80% range $1K to $20K
- Median share of team pool
- 2.3%
- team pool $280K, 80% range $100K to $740K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $4K to $5K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 24.2%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
E Michigan: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | E Michigan | $5Kspeculative | $1K to $20K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -1.8 | -3.0 to -0.5 | Sufficient evidence | -0.2 | -1.5 | +1.1range +0.9 to +1.4 | 902 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | C Michigan | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.2 | -1.8 to +1.4 | Sufficient evidence | -0.2 | +0.0 | +1.9range +1.4 to +2.4 | 1,815 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 9:19 | 9:46 | 1:55–23:12 | |
| Points | 3.2 | 2.8 | 0.0–9.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 86.7% | 48.9% | 0.0%–150.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | Bowling Green | L 69–77 | 14:32 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-03 | Buffalo | L 67–72 | 7:22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-24 | Miami (OH) | L 64–74 | 5:48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-21 | Toledo | L 75–94 | 11:58 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 100.0% |
| 2026-02-17 | Central Mich. | W 66–54 | 6:53 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 150.0% |
| 2026-02-14 | Western Mich. | L 62–76 | 11:10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 83.3% |
| 2026-02-11 | Kent St. | L 91–95 | 2:10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-07 | App State | L 60–65 | 3:40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-03 | Akron | L 64–66 | 15:14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-31 | Massachusetts | L 67–70 | 23:12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-27 | Central Mich. | L 65–100 | 20:10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 20.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | Kent St. | L 75–76 | 2:45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Bowling Green | L 79–85 | 7:02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-13 | NIU | W 77–59 | 13:01 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 57.1% |
| 2026-01-10 | Western Mich. | L 62–79 | 1:55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-01-06 | Ball St. | W 74–52 | 8:19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026-01-03 | Ohio | L 67–68 | 9:09 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 100.0% |
| 2025-12-30 | Massachusetts | W 80–74 | 2:47 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-22 | Wright St. | L 64–70 | 3:37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-12-19 | Akron | L 72–93 | 18:06 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2025-12-10 | Purdue Fort Wayne | L 65–80 | 9:55 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 33.3% |
| 2025-12-02 · NCAA | Butler | L 68–84 | 11:24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 75.0% |
| 2025-11-28 | NJIT | W 73–55 | 9:38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 133.3% |
| 2025-11-26 | Cincinnati | W 64–56 | 7:19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-24 | Louisville | L 46–87 | 11:16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 66.7% |
| 2025-11-21 | Oakland | W 97–91 | 9:11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-18 | Detroit Mercy | W 72–62 | 5:07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-14 | IU Indy | L 83–90 | 11:33 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-10 | Pittsburgh | L 66–78 | 13:59 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-03 | Georgia St. | W 71–49 | 14:49 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 30.0% |