Josiah Sabino
Niagara · 2025–26 · 28 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
583:33 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 28
- Minutes per game
- 20:50
- Points per game
- 7.1
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 4.6 / 0.9
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 7.1 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| Per 40 minutes | 13.6 | 8.8 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 4.1 |
| Season totals | 198 | 129 | 25 | 22 | 13 | 35 | 60 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 68–150 | 45.3% | 5.4 | 10.3 |
| 2P | 56–101 | 55.4% | 3.6 | 6.9 |
| 3P | 12–49 | 24.5%† | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| FT | 50–55 | 90.9% | 2.0 | 3.8 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.3% | 56.8% | 32.7% | 36.7% | 0.71 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Niagara · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $18K
- 80% range $1K to $79K
- Median share of team pool
- 10.2%
- team pool $195K, 80% range $72K to $545K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $16K to $22K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $1K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 50.0%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Niagara: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Niagara | $18Kspeculative | $1K to $79K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -0.8 | -1.9 to +0.5 | Sufficient evidence | -0.9 | +0.2 | +2.3range +1.9 to +2.6 | 1,775 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Jacksonville | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -2.0 | -2.5 to -1.4 | Limited evidence | -1.2 | -0.8 | +0.3range +0.2 to +0.4 | 332 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 22:54 | 20:50 | 11:12–33:26 | |
| Points | 8.4 | 7.1 | 0.0–19.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 36.7% | 43.6% | 0.0%–112.5% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Merrimack | L 66–73 | 21:24 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-27 | Quinnipiac | W 78–76 | 18:57 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-22 | Rider | L 62–67 | 15:56 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 16.7% |
| 2026-02-20 | Mount St. Mary's | L 63–76 | 33:26 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 75.0% |
| 2026-02-15 | Iona | W 70–68 | 24:46 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 41.7% |
| 2026-02-13 | Manhattan | L 69–76 | 14:05 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 37.5% |
| 2026-02-07 | Quinnipiac | L 55–56 | 11:12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-03 | Canisius | W 65–56 | 26:07 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 55.0% |
| 2026-02-01 | Marist | L 46–58 | 15:15 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-30 | Siena | L 79–82 | 22:15 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 112.5% |
| 2026-01-24 | Sacred Heart | L 70–71 | 31:48 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | Fairfield | L 61–62 | 27:24 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 61.1% |
| 2026-01-19 | Mount St. Mary's | L 58–68 | 24:47 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 60.0% |
| 2026-01-14 | Canisius | W 59–54 | 12:21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2026-01-11 | Manhattan | L 70–79 | 23:05 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 40.0% |
| 2026-01-09 | Iona | L 53–71 | 14:23 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 20.0% |
| 2026-01-04 | Fairfield | L 75–83 | 16:41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 66.7% |
| 2026-01-02 | Sacred Heart | W 64–61 | 18:37 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 66.7% |
| 2025-12-13 | Morgan St. | L 73–81 | 24:14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 40.0% |
| 2025-12-07 | Saint Peter's | L 43–71 | 24:35 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-05 | Siena | L 54–83 | 15:31 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 40.0% |
| 2025-11-29 | Detroit Mercy | L 66–70 | 18:17 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 28.6% |
| 2025-11-22 | Howard | L 70–80 | 26:15 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-21 | Duke | L 42–100 | 18:13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-17 | Le Moyne | L 68–74 | 13:18 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-10 | Delaware St. | W 68–57 | 22:27 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 75.0% |
| 2025-11-08 | Binghamton | W 67–59 | 23:43 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-03 | Duquesne | L 63–83 | 24:31 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 66.7% |