Christian Harmon
Arkansas St. · 2025–26 · 30 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
835:18 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 30
- Minutes per game
- 27:51
- Points per game
- 13.2
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.7 / 2.4
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 13.2 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Per 40 minutes | 18.9 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 2.1 |
| Season totals | 395 | 111 | 71 | 27 | 4 | 62 | 43 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 122–308 | 39.6% | 10.3 | 14.7 |
| 2P | 41–78 | 52.6%† | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| 3P | 81–230 | 35.2% | 7.7 | 11.0 |
| FT | 70–86 | 81.4% | 2.9 | 4.1 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.8% | 57.1% | 74.7% | 27.9% | 1.15 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Arkansas St · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $49K
- 80% range $16K to $135K
- Median share of team pool
- 16.6%
- team pool $280K, 80% range $100K to $745K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $46K to $50K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 68.7%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Arkansas St: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Arkansas St | $49Kspeculative | $16K to $135K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +2.4 | +1.2 to +3.9 | Sufficient evidence | +1.9 | +0.5 | +5.8range +5.1 to +6.5 | 2,818 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 29:52 | 27:51 | 11:57–42:55 | |
| Points | 10.4 | 13.2 | 0.0–33.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 43.5% | 50.8% | 0.0%–90.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | Ga. Southern | L 77–80 | 32:44 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3-12 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 37.5% |
| 2026-02-27 | Louisiana | W 81–58 | 23:25 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 18.8% |
| 2026-02-24 | Southern Miss. | W 89–84 | 31:22 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-21 | ULM | W 102–94 | 31:19 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 55.0% |
| 2026-02-19 | Louisiana | W 79–62 | 30:32 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 56.3% |
| 2026-02-14 | South Alabama | L 88–92 | 42:55 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10-24 | 9-22 | 4-4 | 60.4% |
| 2026-02-11 · NCAA | ULM | W 103–70 | 23:06 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7-14 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 75.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | Bowling Green | W 91–54 | 24:32 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 90.0% |
| 2026-02-04 | Coastal Carolina | W 70–66 | 36:11 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6-11 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 59.1% |
| 2026-01-31 | Marshall | L 61–70 | 34:14 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 40.0% |
| 2026-01-28 | Old Dominion | L 71–75 | 33:34 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 61.5% |
| 2026-01-24 | Georgia St. | L 81–82 | 33:15 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7-15 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 66.7% |
| 2026-01-22 | Ga. Southern | W 85–68 | 22:14 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 55.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Troy | L 74–99 | 26:17 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 87.5% |
| 2026-01-15 | South Alabama | L 87–91 | 23:19 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 27.8% |
| 2026-01-10 | Texas St. | W 83–82 | 23:28 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 43.8% |
| 2026-01-07 | Troy | W 86–74 | 28:29 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 80.0% |
| 2026-01-03 | James Madison | L 74–78 | 23:08 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-8 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 18.8% |
| 2025-12-20 | Southern Miss. | W 93–86 | 26:17 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 57.1% |
| 2025-12-17 | Texas St. | W 89–70 | 24:21 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 85.0% |
| 2025-12-13 | Rice | L 76–77 | 19:04 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 16.7% |
| 2025-12-06 | Little Rock | W 90–78 | 11:57 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 27.8% |
| 2025-12-02 | UT Arlington | W 83–63 | 30:38 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4-12 | 0-6 | 3-5 | 33.3% |
| 2025-11-28 | North Dakota St. | W 85–80 | 28:00 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 42.9% |
| 2025-11-24 | Jacksonville St. | W 74–63 | 31:09 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 7-8 | 77.8% |
| 2025-11-21 | SMU | L 69–100 | 24:51 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 77.8% |
| 2025-11-19 | Saint Mary's (CA) | L 72–85 | 30:25 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 58.8% |
| 2025-11-11 | Missouri St. | W 86–85 | 34:40 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 35.7% |
| 2025-11-07 | SFA | L 65–90 | 20:39 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 27.8% |
| 2025-11-03 | Ohio | W 89–85 | 29:13 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0-10 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0.0% |