JJ Kelly
Ohio · 2025–26 · 29 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
785:16 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 29
- Minutes per game
- 27:05
- Points per game
- 8.3
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.9 / 0.6
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 8.3 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| Per 40 minutes | 12.3 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3.8 |
| Season totals | 242 | 114 | 17 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 74 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 93–182 | 51.1% | 6.3 | 9.3 |
| 2P | 71–113 | 62.8% | 3.9 | 5.8 |
| 3P | 22–69 | 31.9% | 2.4 | 3.5 |
| FT | 34–44 | 77.3% | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.1% | 60.1% | 37.9% | 24.2% | 0.71 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Ohio · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $33K
- 80% range $7K to $110K
- Median share of team pool
- 13.0%
- team pool $280K, 80% range $100K to $760K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $32K to $34K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 65.0%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Ohio: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Ohio | $33Kspeculative | $7K to $110K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +0.5 | -0.8 to +1.8 | Sufficient evidence | +0.5 | +0.1 | +4.1range +3.5 to +4.6 | 2,495 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 30:07 | 27:05 | 3:52–36:42 | |
| Points | 5.0 | 8.3 | 0.0–17.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 35.4% | 56.2% | 0.0%–100.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | Kent St. | L 75–86 | 35:30 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-06 | Miami (OH) | L 108–110 | 17:12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 20.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Toledo | L 67–79 | 35:46 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 57.1% |
| 2026-02-21 | NIU | W 74–66 | 26:54 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-17 | Ball St. | W 69–57 | 35:11 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-13 | Miami (OH) | L 74–90 | 25:59 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 66.7% |
| 2026-02-07 | Old Dominion | L 72–78 | 31:41 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 57.1% |
| 2026-02-03 | Western Mich. | W 91–71 | 25:18 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 71.4% |
| 2026-01-31 | Buffalo | W 95–83 | 36:21 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 53.8% |
| 2026-01-27 | Kent St. | L 57–72 | 24:27 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 57.1% |
| 2026-01-23 | Akron | L 65–86 | 36:42 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 55.6% |
| 2026-01-20 | NIU | W 80–77 | 32:30 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 56.7% |
| 2026-01-16 | Ball St. | L 71–76 | 34:42 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-13 | Toledo | L 85–101 | 27:23 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 60.0% |
| 2026-01-10 | Buffalo | W 91–80 | 30:32 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 60.0% |
| 2026-01-06 | Massachusetts | W 86–83 | 26:09 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 100.0% |
| 2026-01-03 | Eastern Mich. | W 68–67 | 21:06 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-30 | Central Mich. | W 80–64 | 34:08 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 70.0% |
| 2025-12-20 | Bowling Green | L 58–68 | 25:21 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-13 | St. Bonaventure | W 88–83 | 32:50 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 71.4% |
| 2025-12-06 | Marshall | W 88–81 | 23:07 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 61.1% |
| 2025-12-03 | Maine | W 79–57 | 22:45 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-25 | LMU (CA) | L 58–70 | 15:06 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 83.3% |
| 2025-11-24 | George Mason | L 69–92 | 18:28 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 100.0% |
| 2025-11-19 | Bethune-Cookman | L 73–76 | 25:12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 33.3% |
| 2025-11-15 | Louisville | L 81–106 | 29:37 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 100.0% |
| 2025-11-11 | Saint Mary's (CA) | L 60–90 | 27:38 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 40.0% |
| 2025-11-06 | Illinois St. | W 72–68 | 23:49 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-03 | Arkansas St. | L 85–89 | 3:52 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |