Joe Sayler
South Dakota St. · 2025–26 · 29 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
962:29 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 29
- Minutes per game
- 33:11
- Points per game
- 14.8
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.6 / 2.2
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 14.8 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Per 40 minutes | 17.8 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Season totals | 428 | 103 | 64 | 11 | 4 | 54 | 43 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 149–351 | 42.5% | 12.1 | 14.6 |
| 2P | 87–198 | 43.9% | 6.8 | 8.2 |
| 3P | 62–153 | 40.5% | 5.3 | 6.4 |
| FT | 68–81 | 84.0% | 2.8 | 3.4 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.3% | 55.3% | 43.6% | 23.1% | 1.19 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
S Dakota St · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $26K
- 80% range $5K to $81K
- Median share of team pool
- 13.0%
- team pool $260K, 80% range $90K to $670K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $25K to $27K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 81.5%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
S Dakota St: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | S Dakota St | $26Kspeculative | $5K to $81K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +0.3 | -0.6 to +1.1 | Sufficient evidence | +0.6 | -0.4 | +4.9range +4.4 to +5.4 | 2,902 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | S Dakota St | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -1.7 | -3.0 to -0.6 | Sufficient evidence | +0.6 | -2.3 | +2.4range +1.8 to +3.1 | 1,730 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 36:25 | 33:11 | 19:53–39:09 | |
| Points | 17.4 | 14.8 | 5.0–27.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 46.5% | 51.2% | 13.6%–95.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | St. Thomas (MN) | L 67–80 | 37:17 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 33.3% |
| 2026-02-28 | South Dakota | L 70–75 | 37:43 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10-23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-26 | Kansas City | W 73–59 | 33:55 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 60.0% |
| 2026-02-21 | North Dakota | W 91–83 | 35:55 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 8-9 | 57.7% |
| 2026-02-18 | North Dakota St. | L 66–74 | 37:13 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 31.3% |
| 2026-02-14 | Oral Roberts | W 87–69 | 35:40 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 59.1% |
| 2026-02-12 | Denver | L 61–79 | 33:41 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 57.7% |
| 2026-02-07 | South Dakota | L 67–68 | 37:07 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8-19 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 44.7% |
| 2026-02-04 | St. Thomas (MN) | L 62–77 | 38:46 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 78.6% |
| 2026-01-31 | Oral Roberts | W 95–72 | 34:43 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9-12 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 87.5% |
| 2026-01-28 | Omaha | L 71–80 | 34:42 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3-15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 20.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | St. Thomas (MN) | L 69–74 | 36:56 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10-15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 76.7% |
| 2026-01-17 | Kansas City | W 90–62 | 27:29 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 95.0% |
| 2026-01-14 | North Dakota St. | L 65–76 | 30:15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 45.5% |
| 2026-01-08 | Denver | W 87–79 | 34:45 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 44.1% |
| 2026-01-03 | North Dakota | L 87–90 | 39:09 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9-19 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 60.5% |
| 2026-01-01 | Omaha | W 84–69 | 35:09 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 54.2% |
| 2025-12-29 | Arizona | L 71–99 | 28:45 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2025-12-19 | Milwaukee | L 87–88 | 22:06 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 21.4% |
| 2025-12-15 | Wyoming | L 72–87 | 35:20 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 36.4% |
| 2025-12-09 | Ball St. | W 68–64 | 31:30 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 41.7% |
| 2025-12-06 | Idaho | L 81–84 | 35:24 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-11 | 1-3 | 9-11 | 13.6% |
| 2025-12-03 | Northern Ariz. | W 75–62 | 33:01 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 70.0% |
| 2025-11-26 | UC Irvine | L 52–64 | 30:59 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 44.4% |
| 2025-11-25 | Utah Valley | L 52–75 | 31:42 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4-12 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 37.5% |
| 2025-11-21 | Georgia St. | W 105–58 | 24:54 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 75.0% |
| 2025-11-12 | Oregon | L 69–83 | 33:03 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 58.3% |
| 2025-11-09 | UNI | L 58–65 | 35:27 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 46.9% |
| 2025-11-03 | Merrimack | W 75–66 | 19:53 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 60.0% |