Patrick Punch
Mississippi Val. · 2025–26 · 28 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
843:10 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 28
- Minutes per game
- 30:07
- Points per game
- 8.2
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.1 / 1.6
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 8.2 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| Per 40 minutes | 10.9 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 3.7 |
| Season totals | 230 | 88 | 45 | 32 | 4 | 55 | 79 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 70–216 | 32.4% | 7.7 | 10.2 |
| 2P | 44–118 | 37.3% | 4.2 | 5.6 |
| 3P | 26–98 | 26.5% | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| FT | 64–90 | 71.1% | 3.2 | 4.3 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.4% | 45.0% | 45.4% | 41.7% | 0.82 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
MS Valley St · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $3K
- 80% range $0 to $20K
- Median share of team pool
- 1.4%
- team pool $125K, 80% range $44K to $330K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $2K to $3K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $1K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 69.2%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
MS Valley St: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | MS Valley St | $3Kspeculative | $0 to $20K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -5.3 | -6.4 to -3.7 | Sufficient evidence | -3.2 | -2.1 | +0.8range +0.5 to +1.1 | 2,830 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 28:47 | 30:07 | 13:23–44:27 | |
| Points | 9.0 | 8.2 | 0.0–19.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 49.0% | 37.6% | 0.0%–100.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | Grambling | L 52–77 | 31:14 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-05 | Jackson St. | L 77–85 | 32:56 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 100.0% |
| 2026-03-03 | Alcorn | L 64–67 | 30:15 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 40.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Ark.-Pine Bluff | W 70–69 | 15:35 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 64.3% |
| 2026-02-23 | Grambling | L 62–83 | 33:56 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 40.9% |
| 2026-02-21 | Texas Southern | W 72–71 | 30:24 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 43.8% |
| 2026-02-19 | Prairie View | L 62–72 | 36:53 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-16 | Alabama St. | L 55–92 | 13:23 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-14 | Alabama A&M | L 65–72 | 39:35 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | Jackson St. | L 81–97 | 28:25 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 33.3% |
| 2026-01-19 | Florida A&M | L 48–62 | 19:23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 16.7% |
| 2026-01-17 | Bethune-Cookman | L 63–79 | 33:51 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 55.6% |
| 2026-01-12 | Texas Southern | L 51–84 | 39:41 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7-20 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 42.5% |
| 2026-01-10 | Prairie View | L 69–70 | 33:17 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 36.4% |
| 2026-01-05 | Alabama A&M | L 51–71 | 29:25 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 21.4% |
| 2026-01-03 | Alabama St. | L 69–89 | 24:21 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 66.7% |
| 2025-12-29 | Oklahoma | L 69–93 | 39:30 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 93.8% |
| 2025-12-22 | West Virginia | L 51–86 | 36:22 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 18.2% |
| 2025-12-19 | Florida St. | L 49–96 | 24:12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 30.0% |
| 2025-12-16 | Tarleton St. | L 64–88 | 28:36 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 61.1% |
| 2025-12-08 | Kansas St. | L 49–108 | 25:13 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-25 | Texas A&M | L 84–120 | 26:30 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 40.0% |
| 2025-11-22 | CSU Bakersfield | L 70–86 | 32:49 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 30.0% |
| 2025-11-15 | Manhattan | L 73–80 | 23:51 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2025-11-14 | Utah Tech | L 75–81 | 44:27 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 11.1% |
| 2025-11-13 | Hawaii | L 56–88 | 23:47 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 57.1% |
| 2025-11-07 | Murray St. | L 60–108 | 29:58 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 22.2% |
| 2025-11-03 | UAB | L 55–106 | 35:21 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 27.8% |