Ethan Elliott
Northern Ky. · 2025–26 · 29 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
834:56 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 29
- Minutes per game
- 28:47
- Points per game
- 4.8
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.8 / 4.4
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 4.8 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Per 40 minutes | 6.7 | 3.8 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Season totals | 140 | 80 | 129 | 28 | 2 | 40 | 52 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 53–165 | 32.1% | 5.7 | 7.9 |
| 2P | 36–94 | 38.3%† | 3.2 | 4.5 |
| 3P | 17–71 | 23.9% | 2.4 | 3.4 |
| FT | 17–35 | 48.6% | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.3% | 38.8% | 43.0% | 21.2% | 3.23 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
N Kentucky · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $31K
- 80% range $9K to $90K
- Median share of team pool
- 14.1%
- team pool $225K, 80% range $82K to $600K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $28K to $36K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 68.1%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
N Kentucky: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | N Kentucky | $31Kspeculative | $9K to $90K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +1.5 | +0.3 to +3.0 | Sufficient evidence | -0.8 | +2.3 | +5.6range +4.9 to +6.4 | 2,913 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 33:31 | 28:47 | 13:50–38:28 | |
| Points | 4.4 | 4.8 | 0.0–11.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 38.2% | 36.7% | 0.0%–112.5% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | Wright St. | L 90–103 | 32:16 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 16.7% |
| 2026-03-08 | Green Bay | W 96–76 | 34:30 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 28.6% |
| 2026-03-04 | Oakland | W 85–84 | 32:17 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Wright St. | L 91–92 | 31:56 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 37.5% |
| 2026-02-25 | Cleveland St. | W 81–70 | 36:35 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 83.3% |
| 2026-02-22 | Youngstown St. | L 58–64 | 38:28 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 42.9% |
| 2026-02-18 | Purdue Fort Wayne | W 87–71 | 34:50 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 112.5% |
| 2026-02-12 | IU Indy | W 84–81 | 27:11 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 16.7% |
| 2026-02-07 | Milwaukee | W 67–62 | 37:48 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 20.0% |
| 2026-02-04 | Green Bay | L 84–87 | 32:58 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 56.3% |
| 2026-01-24 | Wright St. | L 80–88 | 13:50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Robert Morris | L 89–92 | 24:49 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 20.0% |
| 2026-01-15 | Detroit Mercy | W 96–71 | 29:55 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 31.3% |
| 2026-01-11 | Green Bay | L 78–80 | 32:44 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 40.9% |
| 2026-01-09 | Milwaukee | W 85–67 | 32:18 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 62.5% |
| 2026-01-04 | Youngstown St. | W 94–79 | 31:01 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2026-01-01 | IU Indy | W 81–72 | 33:57 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-29 | Robert Morris | W 79–77 | 25:42 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 78.6% |
| 2025-12-21 | Col. of Charleston | L 74–85 | 17:14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-12-17 | Oakland | L 77–82 | 31:55 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 64.3% |
| 2025-12-13 | Bellarmine | W 80–76 | 28:25 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 20.0% |
| 2025-12-06 | Purdue Fort Wayne | L 77–79 | 29:19 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-03 | Cleveland St. | W 95–80 | 29:51 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 41.7% |
| 2025-11-29 | Boston U. | W 74–65 | 19:46 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-26 · NCAA | Wofford | W 93–83 | 19:06 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-24 | Eastern Ky. | W 82–71 | 19:37 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-20 | Central Mich. | W 90–66 | 27:13 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 58.3% |
| 2025-11-12 | ETSU | L 63–75 | 19:56 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-08 | Tennessee | L 56–95 | 29:29 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 37.5% |