Terrance Arceneaux
NC State · 2025–26 · 30 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
471:36 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 30
- Minutes per game
- 15:43
- Points per game
- 3.8
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.6 / 0.5
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 3.8 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Per 40 minutes | 9.7 | 6.7 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.1 |
| Season totals | 114 | 79 | 15 | 26 | 11 | 11 | 25 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 41–100 | 41.0% | 3.3 | 8.5 |
| 2P | 26–54 | 48.1%† | 1.8 | 4.6 |
| 3P | 15–46 | 32.6%† | 1.5 | 3.9 |
| FT | 17–22 | 77.3%† | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.5% | 52.0% | 46.0% | 22.0% | 1.36 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
NC State · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $185K
- 80% range $67K to $300K
- Median share of team pool
- 5.5%
- team pool $3.55M, 80% range $2.60M to $5.00M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $185K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $27K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 33.9%
- Sufficient evidence
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
NC State: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | NC State | $185Kspeculative | $67K to $300K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +1.5 | +0.0 to +2.8 | Sufficient evidence | +0.8 | +0.7 | +2.7range +2.3 to +3.1 | 1,576 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Houston | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +2.6 | +1.4 to +3.7 | Sufficient evidence | +0.5 | +2.1 | +2.5range +2.1 to +3.0 | 1,329 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Houston | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +3.3 | +2.0 to +4.7 | Limited evidence | +1.1 | +2.2 | +0.5range +0.5 to +0.6 | 513 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail | |
| 2023 | Houston | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +1.9 | +0.8 to +2.9 | Sufficient evidence | +0.0 | +1.8 | +1.1range +0.9 to +1.3 | 1,343 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 12:52 | 15:43 | 6:01–28:25 | |
| Points | 2.2 | 3.8 | 0.0–13.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 49.0% | 50.7% | 0.0%–150.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | Texas | L 66–68 | 6:41 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-12 | Virginia | L 74–81 | 17:15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 25.0% |
| 2026-03-11 | Pittsburgh | W 98–88 | 9:23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 150.0% |
| 2026-03-07 | Stanford | L 84–85 | 13:22 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 20.0% |
| 2026-03-02 | Duke | L 64–93 | 17:37 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Notre Dame | L 90–96 | 20:40 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-24 | Virginia | L 61–90 | 20:11 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 16.7% |
| 2026-02-17 | North Carolina | W 82–58 | 23:03 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-14 | Miami (FL) | L 76–77 | 13:31 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 100.0% |
| 2026-02-09 | Louisville | L 77–118 | 16:59 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | Virginia Tech | W 82–73 | 12:10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-03 | SMU | W 84–83 | 21:34 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-31 | Wake Forest | W 96–78 | 24:33 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 75.0% |
| 2026-01-27 | Syracuse | W 88–68 | 15:16 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | Pittsburgh | W 81–72 | 16:59 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-20 | Clemson | W 80–76 | 12:28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 150.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Georgia Tech | L 74–78 | 16:30 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 150.0% |
| 2026-01-10 | Florida St. | W 113–69 | 28:25 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 85.7% |
| 2026-01-06 | Boston College | W 79–71 | 20:36 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 91.7% |
| 2026-01-03 | Virginia | L 61–76 | 10:28 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 33.3% |
| 2025-12-17 | Texas Southern | W 108–72 | 16:10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 33.3% |
| 2025-12-13 | Kansas | L 76–77 | 14:11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-10 | Liberty | W 85–45 | 23:00 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 75.0% |
| 2025-12-06 | UNC Asheville | W 75–63 | 7:49 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-03 | Auburn | L 73–83 | 13:00 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-26 | Texas | L 97–102 | 12:58 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-25 | Boise St. | W 81–70 | 22:55 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 90.0% |
| 2025-11-24 | Seton Hall | L 74–85 | 6:01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-07 | UAB | W 94–70 | 7:53 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 25.0% |
| 2025-11-03 | N.C. Central | W 114–66 | 9:58 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |