Thomas Dowd
Troy · 2025–26 · 32 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
1181:19 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 32
- Minutes per game
- 36:55
- Points per game
- 14.5
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 10.3 / 2.0
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 14.5 | 10.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.4 |
| Per 40 minutes | 15.7 | 11.2 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| Season totals | 465 | 330 | 65 | 39 | 44 | 48 | 78 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 157–363 | 43.3% | 11.3 | 12.3 |
| 2P | 97–177 | 54.8% | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| 3P | 60–186 | 32.3% | 5.8 | 6.3 |
| FT | 91–114 | 79.8% | 3.6 | 3.9 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.5% | 56.3% | 51.2% | 31.4% | 1.35 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Troy · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $76K
- 80% range $26K to $215K
- Median share of team pool
- 24.5%
- team pool $295K, 80% range $105K to $775K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $62K to $83K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 89.2%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Troy: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Troy | $76Kspeculative | $26K to $215K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +3.4 | +2.6 to +4.2 | Sufficient evidence | +2.0 | +1.4 | +8.3range +7.5 to +8.9 | 3,222 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Troy | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +3.1 | +2.2 to +4.2 | Sufficient evidence | +0.7 | +2.4 | +4.1range +3.6 to +4.7 | 2,436 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Troy | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +1.4 | +0.6 to +2.4 | Sufficient evidence | -0.2 | +1.7 | +2.7range +2.3 to +3.3 | 2,040 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 37:16 | 36:55 | 30:14–51:02 | |
| Points | 15.8 | 14.5 | 2.0–25.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 43.9% | 51.3% | 7.7%–95.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Nebraska | L 47–76 | 33:42 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1-11 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 9.1% |
| 2026-03-09 | Ga. Southern | W 77–61 | 39:19 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 75.0% |
| 2026-03-08 | Southern Miss. | W 78–70 | 38:42 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 10-12 | 14.3% |
| 2026-02-27 | ULM | W 80–65 | 36:20 | 22 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 65.6% |
| 2026-02-24 | Louisiana | W 78–59 | 38:18 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 55.6% |
| 2026-02-21 | South Alabama | L 54–65 | 39:52 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2-10 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 30.0% |
| 2026-02-18 | ULM | W 77–76 | 38:32 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 34.6% |
| 2026-02-14 | Southern Miss. | L 65–69 | 37:24 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 40.9% |
| 2026-02-11 | Texas St. | L 62–74 | 36:49 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 18.8% |
| 2026-02-07 | Akron | W 79–69 | 31:46 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 75.0% |
| 2026-02-04 | Georgia St. | W 74–63 | 37:20 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 66.7% |
| 2026-01-31 | App State | L 44–66 | 35:43 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1-13 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 7.7% |
| 2026-01-29 | James Madison | L 64–73 | 35:00 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 41.7% |
| 2026-01-24 | Ga. Southern | W 83–78 | 36:29 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 45.0% |
| 2026-01-21 | Old Dominion | W 83–77 | 43:46 | 12 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 55.6% |
| 2026-01-17 | Arkansas St. | W 99–74 | 34:15 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 76.9% |
| 2026-01-14 | Southern Miss. | W 91–65 | 34:01 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 55.0% |
| 2026-01-10 | Louisiana | W 90–70 | 34:12 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 62.5% |
| 2026-01-07 | Arkansas St. | L 74–86 | 36:30 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 40.6% |
| 2026-01-03 | South Alabama | W 59–49 | 36:33 | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7-15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 60.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | Texas St. | W 100–80 | 36:06 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10-14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 75.0% |
| 2025-12-20 | Marshall | W 70–63 | 36:54 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-14 | UAB | W 86–85 | 30:35 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 62.5% |
| 2025-12-01 | West Ga. | L 89–93 | 40:57 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 95.0% |
| 2025-11-26 | Saint Francis | W 74–64 | 34:02 | 18 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 81.3% |
| 2025-11-24 | Toledo | L 68–75 | 37:51 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2025-11-20 | Southern California | L 106–107 | 51:02 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 43.8% |
| 2025-11-18 | San Diego St. | W 108–107 | 46:24 | 25 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 6-8 | 79.2% |
| 2025-11-16 | CSUN | L 85–94 | 30:14 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-14 | LMU (CA) | L 63–74 | 34:53 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 38.9% |
| 2025-11-07 | Furman | W 64–61 | 32:12 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 44.4% |
| 2025-11-03 | Kent St. | W 103–97 | 35:36 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 57.1% |