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Jaron Pierre Jr.

SMU · 2025–26 · 34 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance

Logged performance

1126:19 minutes logged

Games logged
34
Minutes per game
33:08
Points per game
17.6
Rebounds / assists per game
4.9 / 2.1
Box line on three bases
BasisPtsRebAstStlBlkTOPF
Per game17.64.92.11.00.41.91.9
Per 40 minutes21.35.92.51.20.52.22.2
Season totals5991677133156363
Shooting with attempts
ShotMade–att.PctAtt/GAtt/40
FG222–48146.2%14.117.1
2P142–26553.6%7.89.4
3P80–21637.0%6.47.7
FT75–9975.8%2.93.5
Derived rates (computed here from the box line, not published statistics)
eFG%Estimated TS%3PA / FGAFTA / FGAAST / TO
54.5%57.1%44.9%20.6%1.13

Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions

Speculative compensation · 2025–26β

SMU · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.

Speculative best guess
$520K
80% range $290K to $795K
Median share of team pool
15.1%
team pool $3.60M, 80% range $2.55M to $4.90M
Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
$520K in all four
the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
Floor part
$25K
shared by every player with possessions
Possession share
81.4%
Sufficient evidence
Point and 80% range on the team table's axis. Open circle: limited evidence or floor only.

Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.

Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.

Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks

Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.

SMU: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player

No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ

Net points per 100 possessions by season, newest first. The speculative compensation best guess for 2025–26 only sits right after the team, so it is the first figure after the season. Ordered by season, not by value or dollars. Compensation is a best guess of a share of the school’s own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
SeasonTeamSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% rangeSplit roleNetRangeEvidenceRange graphic. Position on one axisOffenseDefenseWins above replacementOn-court possessionsSample and flags
2026SMU$520Kspeculative$290K to $795Kdescriptive: not used in fit or gates+2.7+1.5 to +4.0Sufficient evidence+2.8-0.1+7.3range +6.4 to +8.13,702Season detail
2025Jacksonville StNone: no budget that season—evaluation: examined, post hoc+0.2-0.5 to +1.0Sufficient evidence+1.3-1.1+5.1range +4.5 to +5.93,927Season detail
2023Wichita StNone: no budget that season—evaluation: examined, post hoc-1.2-2.6 to -0.2Sufficient evidence-0.2-1.0+2.5range +1.7 to +3.22,258Season detail
2022Southern MissNone: no budget that season—development: in model selection-3.1-4.6 to -1.6Sufficient evidence-1.3-1.8Not computed for this season2,036
2021Southern MissNone: no budget that season—development: in model selection+1.2+0.1 to +2.2Sufficient evidence-0.5+1.6Not computed for this season1,6042020-21 season, shortened by COVID-19 cancellations; kept in the model fit with this flag.

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology

Game log

Game log, box line per game. eFG% is computed for the game from field goals and three-pointers; it is blank without a field-goal attempt.
DateOpponentResultMinPtsRebAstStlBlkTOPFFG3PFTeFG
2026-03-18Miami (OH)L 79–8939:36184430128-161-71-153.1%
2026-03-11LouisvilleL 58–6239:08174000426-105-90-085.0%
2026-03-10SyracuseW 86–6938:53215321317-215-172-245.2%
2026-03-07Florida St.L 78–9135:4375622513-101-60-035.0%
2026-03-04Miami (FL)L 69–7739:55274232129-186-113-466.7%
2026-02-28StanfordL 75–9535:02216210348-175-70-261.8%
2026-02-25CaliforniaL 69–7333:48144301414-111-55-840.9%
2026-02-21Boston CollegeW 94–7030:52135610024-82-43-462.5%
2026-02-17LouisvilleW 95–8532:572571112010-191-64-555.3%
2026-02-14SyracuseL 78–7934:21125210024-122-52-241.7%
2026-02-10Notre DameW 89–8133:19228611438-153-83-363.3%
2026-02-07PittsburghW 86–6731:48215210508-113-62-286.4%
2026-02-03NC StateL 83–8435:252332001310-203-60-057.5%
2026-01-31LouisvilleL 74–8831:3995320223-111-42-331.8%
2026-01-24Florida St.W 83–8035:512851210311-184-102-272.2%
2026-01-20Wake ForestW 91–7931:15133110015-123-60-054.2%
2026-01-17VirginiaL 68–7232:22162100137-161-31-146.9%
2026-01-14Virginia TechW 77–7629:56139100315-92-31-166.7%
2026-01-10DukeL 75–8237:26113110615-131-40-042.3%
2026-01-07ClemsonL 70–7427:57123100213-103-43-545.0%
2026-01-03North CarolinaW 97–8332:34133011105-131-62-242.3%
2025-12-28Cal St. FullertonW 110–6322:17113300024-121-52-237.5%
2025-12-21Central Ark.W 99–8224:43215400018-154-101-166.7%
2025-12-13LSUL 77–8937:33161310026-143-81-253.6%
2025-12-07Texas A&MW 93–8040:413550101413-213-86-669.0%
2025-12-03VanderbiltL 69–8833:17134000335-132-71-346.2%
2025-11-28Mississippi St.W 87–8139:352462022311-211-51-154.8%
2025-11-24RadfordW 89–7234:561513111115-132-63-346.2%
2025-11-21Arkansas St.W 100–6928:24154320106-160-63-537.5%
2025-11-18Ark.-Pine BluffW 106–6026:47237400008-142-75-964.3%
2025-11-15 · NCAAButlerW 87–8534:24187020338-161-51-253.1%
2025-11-11Murray St.W 102–9125:33195221355-152-47-840.0%
2025-11-06A&M-Corpus ChristiW 69–5829:14126111135-122-50-050.0%
2025-11-03Tarleton St.W 96–7629:08213000015-93-38-1072.2%