Chris Bell
California · 2025–26 · 33 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
926:26 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 33
- Minutes per game
- 28:04
- Points per game
- 14.3
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.6 / 0.6
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 14.3 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Per 40 minutes | 20.3 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| Season totals | 471 | 86 | 21 | 18 | 18 | 39 | 47 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 149–324 | 46.0% | 9.8 | 14.0 |
| 2P | 73–137 | 53.3% | 4.2 | 5.9 |
| 3P | 76–187 | 40.6% | 5.7 | 8.1 |
| FT | 97–114 | 85.1% | 3.5 | 4.9 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.7% | 62.9% | 57.7% | 35.2% | 0.54 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
California · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $350K
- 80% range $80K to $580K
- Median share of team pool
- 10.5%
- team pool $3.60M, 80% range $2.60M to $4.95M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $350K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $22K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 70.3%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
California: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | California | $350Kspeculative | $80K to $580K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +0.9 | -0.5 to +2.1 | Sufficient evidence | +1.3 | -0.4 | +5.0range +4.2 to +5.7 | 3,144 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Syracuse | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -3.0 | -4.2 to -2.0 | Sufficient evidence | -0.3 | -2.7 | +1.4range +0.9 to +1.9 | 2,196 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Syracuse | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +0.5 | -1.1 to +1.7 | Sufficient evidence | +0.8 | -0.2 | +3.0range +2.3 to +3.7 | 2,598 | Season detail | |
| 2023 | Syracuse | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.6 | -1.8 to +0.6 | Sufficient evidence | -0.6 | -0.0 | +1.9range +1.4 to +2.4 | 1,702 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 27:37 | 28:04 | 17:13–40:04 | |
| Points | 17.6 | 14.3 | 0.0–31.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 61.1% | 52.9% | 0.0%–112.5% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Saint Joseph's | L 75–76 | 32:25 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9-17 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 67.6% |
| 2026-03-18 | UIC | W 91–73 | 30:24 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10-12 | 7-8 | 4-4 | 112.5% |
| 2026-03-11 | Florida St. | L 89–95 | 29:45 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 70.8% |
| 2026-03-07 | Wake Forest | L 73–80 | 18:56 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 21.4% |
| 2026-03-04 | Georgia Tech | W 76–65 | 26:34 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4-12 | 0-7 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2026-02-28 | Pittsburgh | L 56–72 | 21:42 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 30.0% |
| 2026-02-25 | SMU | W 73–69 | 34:14 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 75.0% |
| 2026-02-21 | Stanford | W 72–66 | 33:50 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 59.1% |
| 2026-02-14 | Boston College | W 86–75 | 33:16 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8-13 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 84.6% |
| 2026-02-11 | Syracuse | L 100–107 | 40:04 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4-12 | 4-8 | 6-10 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | Clemson | L 55–77 | 28:22 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 60.0% |
| 2026-02-04 | Georgia Tech | W 90–85 | 26:06 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 61.1% |
| 2026-01-31 | Miami (FL) | W 86–85 | 29:11 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 62.5% |
| 2026-01-28 | Florida St. | L 61–63 | 24:43 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 59.1% |
| 2026-01-24 | Stanford | W 78–66 | 33:44 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | North Carolina | W 84–78 | 23:28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 25.0% |
| 2026-01-14 | Duke | L 56–71 | 25:21 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2-12 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 20.8% |
| 2026-01-10 | Virginia Tech | L 75–78 | 19:55 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 78.6% |
| 2026-01-07 | Virginia | L 60–84 | 21:54 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-02 | Notre Dame | W 72–71 | 30:29 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-30 | Louisville | L 70–90 | 35:51 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 59.1% |
| 2025-12-21 | Columbia | W 74–56 | 30:47 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2025-12-19 | Morgan St. | W 97–50 | 36:47 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8-11 | 4-6 | 8-8 | 90.9% |
| 2025-12-13 | Northwestern St. | W 79–70 | 17:13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 16.7% |
| 2025-12-06 | Pacific | W 67–61 | 22:14 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 45.8% |
| 2025-12-02 | Utah | W 79–72 | 25:02 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-25 | UCLA | W 80–72 | 30:45 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6-11 | 5-7 | 5-5 | 77.3% |
| 2025-11-21 | Sacramento St. | W 91–67 | 28:18 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 77.3% |
| 2025-11-18 | Presbyterian | W 67–57 | 31:18 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 58.3% |
| 2025-11-13 | Kansas St. | L 96–99 | 28:57 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9-13 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 96.2% |
| 2025-11-10 | Cal St. Fullerton | W 93–65 | 28:18 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 34.6% |
| 2025-11-06 | Wright St. | W 77–67 | 24:01 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 42.9% |
| 2025-11-03 | CSU Bakersfield | W 87–60 | 22:32 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 30.0% |