Josh Hubbard
Mississippi St. · 2025–26 · 32 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
1068:29 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 32
- Minutes per game
- 33:23
- Points per game
- 22.1
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.5 / 3.6
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 22.1 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Per 40 minutes | 26.5 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Season totals | 707 | 79 | 115 | 39 | 3 | 76 | 39 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 237–562 | 42.2% | 17.6 | 21.0 |
| 2P | 142–288 | 49.3% | 9.0 | 10.8 |
| 3P | 95–274 | 34.7% | 8.6 | 10.3 |
| FT | 138–184 | 75.0% | 5.8 | 6.9 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.6% | 55.0% | 48.8% | 32.7% | 1.51 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Mississippi St · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $445K
- 80% range $59K to $750K
- Median share of team pool
- 13.8%
- team pool $3.55M, 80% range $2.55M to $4.95M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $445K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $29K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 83.0%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Mississippi St: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Mississippi St | $445Kspeculative | $59K to $750K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +0.3 | -0.9 to +1.1 | Sufficient evidence | +2.2 | -1.9 | +4.3range +3.8 to +4.7 | 3,597 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Mississippi St | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +2.7 | +1.5 to +3.8 | Sufficient evidence | +3.0 | -0.3 | +5.9range +5.2 to +6.8 | 2,598 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Mississippi St | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +2.8 | +1.2 to +4.1 | Sufficient evidence | +2.1 | +0.7 | +4.5range +3.6 to +5.2 | 3,122 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 34:47 | 33:23 | 2:27–41:15 | |
| Points | 22.4 | 22.1 | 3.0–46.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 48.7% | 49.7% | 25.0%–87.5% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Auburn | L 61–79 | 38:34 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8-25 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 36.0% |
| 2026-03-07 | Georgia | L 96–102 | 33:58 | 42 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16-27 | 7-15 | 3-3 | 72.2% |
| 2026-03-03 | Florida | L 74–108 | 36:00 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 7-12 | 46.7% |
| 2026-02-28 | Missouri | L 64–88 | 33:32 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-25 | Alabama | L 75–100 | 31:52 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 38.5% |
| 2026-02-21 | South Carolina | L 89–97 | 36:23 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4-20 | 2-12 | 3-5 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-18 | Auburn | W 91–85 | 38:49 | 46 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15-27 | 10-16 | 6-9 | 74.1% |
| 2026-02-14 | Ole Miss | W 90–78 | 35:46 | 32 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12-16 | 4-6 | 4-7 | 87.5% |
| 2026-02-11 | Tennessee | L 64–73 | 33:27 | 31 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13-24 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 62.5% |
| 2026-02-07 | Arkansas | L 68–88 | 32:35 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7-15 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 46.7% |
| 2026-01-31 | Missouri | L 79–84 | 31:50 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7-20 | 4-12 | 4-6 | 45.0% |
| 2026-01-28 | LSU | W 80–66 | 31:35 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 37.5% |
| 2026-01-24 | Vanderbilt | L 56–88 | 31:00 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 25.0% |
| 2026-01-21 | Texas A&M | L 68–88 | 30:28 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 42.9% |
| 2026-01-17 | Ole Miss | L 67–68 | 35:36 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3-16 | 2-8 | 5-10 | 25.0% |
| 2026-01-13 | Alabama | L 82–97 | 33:10 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-16 | 3-10 | 8-10 | 46.9% |
| 2026-01-10 | Kentucky | L 68–92 | 36:58 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-07 | Oklahoma | W 72–53 | 36:48 | 30 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11-22 | 1-7 | 7-9 | 52.3% |
| 2026-01-03 | Texas | W 101–98 | 39:39 | 38 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10-31 | 6-17 | 12-15 | 41.9% |
| 2025-12-29 | Alabama St. | W 94–56 | 24:20 | 22 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 84.6% |
| 2025-12-20 | Memphis | W 71–66 | 37:26 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 38.5% |
| 2025-12-16 | LIU | W 87–83 | 35:41 | 34 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11-23 | 6-13 | 6-6 | 60.9% |
| 2025-12-13 | Utah | W 82–74 | 29:48 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6-18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 36.1% |
| 2025-12-07 | San Francisco | L 62–65 | 2:27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-03 | Georgia Tech | W 85–73 | 32:27 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 64.3% |
| 2025-11-28 | SMU | L 81–87 | 38:57 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5-19 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 28.9% |
| 2025-11-24 | LSU New Orleans | W 81–78 | 41:15 | 28 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9-21 | 5-12 | 5-12 | 54.8% |
| 2025-11-21 | New Mexico | L 78–80 | 36:25 | 29 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11-25 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 56.0% |
| 2025-11-20 | Kansas St. | L 77–98 | 31:56 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7-15 | 1-6 | 8-9 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-15 | Southeastern La. | W 75–68 | 31:30 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-10 | Iowa St. | L 80–96 | 36:31 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 58.8% |
| 2025-11-05 | North Ala. | W 86–62 | 31:46 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 10-12 | 53.1% |