Ryan Mela
Providence · 2025–26 · 33 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
848:02 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 33
- Minutes per game
- 25:42
- Points per game
- 9.9
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 5.3 / 2.0
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 9.9 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Per 40 minutes | 15.4 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| Season totals | 326 | 175 | 66 | 26 | 3 | 52 | 55 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 121–241 | 50.2% | 7.3 | 11.4 |
| 2P | 103–185 | 55.7% | 5.6 | 8.7 |
| 3P | 18–56 | 32.1% | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| FT | 66–82 | 80.5% | 2.5 | 3.9 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.9% | 58.8% | 23.2% | 34.0% | 1.27 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Providence · Big East and Gonzaga · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $365K
- 80% range $88K to $775K
- Median share of team pool
- 11.2%
- team pool $3.50M, 80% range $1.95M to $6.10M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $325K to $380K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $24K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 64.1%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Providence: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Providence | $365Kspeculative | $88K to $775K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +1.0 | -0.5 to +2.5 | Sufficient evidence | +1.5 | -0.5 | +4.6range +3.8 to +5.3 | 3,029 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Providence | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +1.8 | +0.8 to +2.7 | Sufficient evidence | +1.1 | +0.6 | +2.5range +2.2 to +2.8 | 1,340 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 34:37 | 25:42 | 10:11–43:34 | |
| Points | 16.8 | 9.9 | 0.0–23.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 68.3% | 49.7% | 0.0%–92.9% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | St. John's (NY) | L 72–85 | 35:52 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-11 | Butler | W 91–81 | 35:12 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10-14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 78.6% |
| 2026-03-07 | Georgetown | L 79–80 | 36:49 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 75.0% |
| 2026-03-04 | Marquette | L 56–78 | 29:18 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 92.9% |
| 2026-02-28 | Creighton | W 79–76 | 35:56 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 45.0% |
| 2026-02-25 | Xavier | W 94–84 | 30:21 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 44.4% |
| 2026-02-21 | DePaul | W 71–68 | 27:03 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-14 | St. John's (NY) | L 69–79 | 36:52 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 38.5% |
| 2026-02-11 | Seton Hall | L 80–87 | 15:43 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 66.7% |
| 2026-02-07 | DePaul | W 90–72 | 23:40 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 63.6% |
| 2026-02-04 | Butler | W 97–87 | 43:34 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 60.0% |
| 2026-01-30 | Villanova | L 73–87 | 30:45 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 55.6% |
| 2026-01-27 | UConn | L 81–87 | 25:49 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | Georgetown | L 78–81 | 27:32 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 83.3% |
| 2026-01-19 | Marquette | L 104–105 | 17:07 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-16 | Creighton | W 93–88 | 23:51 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 90.0% |
| 2026-01-13 | Villanova | L 82–88 | 21:40 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-10 | Xavier | L 84–97 | 28:11 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-07 | UConn | L 98–103 | 25:47 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 8-9 | 61.1% |
| 2026-01-03 | St. John's (NY) | W 77–71 | 18:41 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-19 | Seton Hall | L 67–72 | 14:02 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-13 · NCAA | Butler | L 110–113 | 13:00 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-09 | Brown | W 86–79 | 21:12 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-06 | Rhode Island | W 90–71 | 10:11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 20.0% |
| 2025-12-02 | FDU | W 94–64 | 23:04 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 33.3% |
| 2025-11-28 | Florida | L 78–90 | 28:58 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 45.5% |
| 2025-11-27 | Wisconsin | L 83–104 | 12:22 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2025-11-22 | Penn St. | W 77–65 | 32:30 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 22.2% |
| 2025-11-18 | New Hampshire | W 98–66 | 24:25 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 61.1% |
| 2025-11-14 | Colorado | L 88–97 | 25:14 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-11 | Penn | W 106–81 | 29:57 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 90.0% |
| 2025-11-08 | Virginia Tech | L 101–107 | 21:47 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 37.5% |
| 2025-11-03 | Holy Cross | W 89–79 | 21:37 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 50.0% |