Jaylen Smith
ETSU · 2025–26 · 32 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
790:29 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 32
- Minutes per game
- 24:42
- Points per game
- 9.2
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.4 / 3.0
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 9.2 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| Per 40 minutes | 14.9 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 3.7 |
| Season totals | 294 | 77 | 96 | 40 | 7 | 53 | 74 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 101–254 | 39.8% | 7.9 | 12.9 |
| 2P | 51–110 | 46.4% | 3.4 | 5.6 |
| 3P | 50–144 | 34.7% | 4.5 | 7.3 |
| FT | 42–53 | 79.2% | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.6% | 53.0% | 56.7% | 20.9% | 1.81 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
ETSU · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $23K
- 80% range $6K to $69K
- Median share of team pool
- 10.9%
- team pool $235K, 80% range $88K to $635K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $22K to $23K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 61.1%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
ETSU: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ETSU | $23Kspeculative | $6K to $69K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +1.3 | -0.1 to +2.6 | Sufficient evidence | +1.6 | -0.3 | +4.4range +3.7 to +5.0 | 2,376 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | North Florida | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.1 | -1.0 to +1.0 | Sufficient evidence | +1.0 | -1.1 | +2.8range +2.3 to +3.3 | 2,525 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | North Florida | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -1.3 | -2.4 to -0.1 | Sufficient evidence | +0.2 | -1.4 | +1.7range +1.3 to +2.2 | 1,814 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 26:46 | 24:42 | 10:19–36:11 | |
| Points | 9.2 | 9.2 | 0.0–28.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 55.2% | 47.0% | 0.0%–93.8% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | Furman | L 61–76 | 31:08 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-08 | Western Caro. | W 69–67 | 36:11 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 55.0% |
| 2026-03-07 | The Citadel | W 83–76 | 23:58 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 87.5% |
| 2026-02-28 | Mercer | L 76–82 | 23:03 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-25 · NCAA | Wofford | L 69–72 | 19:30 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 33.3% |
| 2026-02-21 | UNC Greensboro | W 87–75 | 29:48 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-18 | Furman | W 78–69 | 29:27 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 33.3% |
| 2026-02-14 | Samford | L 72–82 | 10:19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-11 | Chattanooga | W 73–61 | 25:01 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 31.3% |
| 2026-02-07 | VMI | W 87–70 | 18:12 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-04 | Furman | W 75–71 | 25:34 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 91.7% |
| 2026-02-01 · NCAA | Wofford | W 86–72 | 26:06 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 57.1% |
| 2026-01-29 | Western Caro. | L 88–90 | 21:07 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 66.7% |
| 2026-01-23 | The Citadel | W 84–55 | 28:29 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 77.3% |
| 2026-01-21 | Chattanooga | W 67–66 | 18:50 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Samford | W 76–75 | 21:01 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-14 | Western Caro. | L 68–72 | 27:03 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-10 | UNC Greensboro | W 86–60 | 30:59 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-07 | VMI | W 81–67 | 24:10 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 61.1% |
| 2026-01-03 | Mercer | W 77–71 | 20:54 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 43.8% |
| 2025-12-30 | The Citadel | W 74–49 | 28:17 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-20 | Jacksonville St. | L 75–81 | 28:02 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 6-9 | 45.0% |
| 2025-12-16 | North Carolina | L 58–77 | 26:17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 80.0% |
| 2025-12-12 | Austin Peay | L 75–76 | 22:47 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 35.0% |
| 2025-12-05 | South Alabama | W 91–65 | 24:43 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 31.3% |
| 2025-12-02 | Dayton | L 71–88 | 24:11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 35.0% |
| 2025-11-29 | Central Ark. | W 80–57 | 31:51 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10-16 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 84.4% |
| 2025-11-23 · NCAA | ULM | W 97–55 | 18:54 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 93.8% |
| 2025-11-21 | Morehead St. | W 77–62 | 21:27 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 25.0% |
| 2025-11-15 | North Ala. | W 78–74 | 23:25 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 54.5% |
| 2025-11-12 | Northern Ky. | W 75–63 | 18:49 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 33.3% |
| 2025-11-08 | Presbyterian | L 64–68 | 30:56 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 3-4 | 22.7% |