Mikel Brown Jr.
Louisville · 2025–26 · 21 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
611:37 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 21
- Minutes per game
- 29:07
- Points per game
- 18.2
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.3 / 4.7
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 18.2 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| Per 40 minutes | 25.0 | 4.6 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 4.3 | 2.2 |
| Season totals | 382 | 70 | 99 | 26 | 3 | 65 | 33 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 112–273 | 41.0% | 13.0 | 17.9 |
| 2P | 57–113 | 50.4% | 5.4 | 7.4 |
| 3P | 55–160 | 34.4% | 7.6 | 10.5 |
| FT | 103–122 | 84.4% | 5.8 | 8.0 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.1% | 58.5% | 58.6% | 44.7% | 1.52 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Louisville · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $280K
- 80% range $145K to $435K
- Median share of team pool
- 8.1%
- team pool $3.55M, 80% range $2.55M to $4.95M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $280K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $25K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 47.5%
- Sufficient evidence
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Louisville: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Louisville | $280Kspeculative | $145K to $435K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +3.0 | +1.6 to +4.5 | Sufficient evidence | +2.7 | +0.3 | +3.8range +3.2 to +4.2 | 2,233 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 30:52 | 29:07 | 18:42–34:29 | |
| Points | 21.2 | 18.2 | 5.0–45.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 55.3% | 48.9% | 11.5%–82.6% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Clemson | L 75–80 | 21:11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 20.0% |
| 2026-02-23 | North Carolina | L 74–77 | 32:53 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9-25 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 48.0% |
| 2026-02-21 | Georgia Tech | W 87–70 | 31:22 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 65.0% |
| 2026-02-17 | SMU | L 85–95 | 34:25 | 29 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 11-18 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 72.2% |
| 2026-02-14 | Baylor | W 82–71 | 34:29 | 29 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 9-9 | 71.4% |
| 2026-02-09 | NC State | W 118–77 | 33:55 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14-23 | 10-16 | 7-7 | 82.6% |
| 2026-02-07 | Wake Forest | W 88–80 | 32:18 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 7-9 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-04 | Notre Dame | W 76–65 | 27:29 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 21.4% |
| 2026-01-31 | SMU | W 88–74 | 29:10 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 60.7% |
| 2026-01-26 | Duke | L 52–83 | 34:16 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1-13 | 1-7 | 4-6 | 11.5% |
| 2026-01-24 | Virginia Tech | W 85–71 | 28:12 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 77.3% |
| 2025-12-13 | Memphis | W 99–73 | 25:25 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 44.4% |
| 2025-12-06 | Indiana | W 87–78 | 26:42 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 25.0% |
| 2025-12-03 | Arkansas | L 80–89 | 34:14 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7-19 | 2-13 | 6-10 | 42.1% |
| 2025-11-26 | NJIT | W 104–47 | 25:12 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-11 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 40.9% |
| 2025-11-24 | Eastern Mich. | W 87–46 | 24:31 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 37.5% |
| 2025-11-21 | Cincinnati | W 74–64 | 31:14 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4-15 | 2-9 | 12-14 | 33.3% |
| 2025-11-15 | Ohio | W 106–81 | 26:50 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 59.1% |
| 2025-11-11 | Kentucky | W 96–88 | 32:38 | 29 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8-16 | 3-10 | 10-11 | 59.4% |
| 2025-11-06 | Jackson St. | W 106–70 | 26:29 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 54.5% |
| 2025-11-03 | South Carolina St. | W 104–45 | 18:42 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 75.0% |