Riley Dering
Air Force · 2025–26 · 14 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
186:37 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 14
- Minutes per game
- 13:20
- Points per game
- 5.4
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.8 / 0.0
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 5.4 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.1 |
| Per 40 minutes | 16.3 | 8.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6.4 |
| Season totals | 76 | 39 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 30 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 31–51 | 60.8%† | 3.6 | 10.9 |
| 2P | 29–48 | 60.4%† | 3.4 | 10.3 |
| 3P | 2–3 | 66.7%† | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| FT | 12–18 | 66.7%† | 1.3 | 3.9 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62.7%† | 64.5%† | 5.9%† | 35.3%† | 0.00 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25); the field-goal floor applies to the derived rates above. Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Air Force · Mid and high major · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $0 (assumed opted out)
- 80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)
- Tier
- Mid and high major
- low to medium evidence
This school did not opt in to House-settlement revenue sharing (Sportico, 2025-07-18), so its modelled pool is exactly zero. Other schools may also have opted out; they are treated as opted in. Assumption "opt-out list": one press article names schools that did not opt in; it is unverified and other schools may differ. Speculative, not observed pay.
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Air Force: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
No modelled Team Pool (opted out). Enter a pool of your own.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Air Force | $0 (assumed opted out) | 80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data) | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -0.9 | -1.8 to +0.1 | Sufficient evidence | -0.0 | -0.9 | +0.3range +0.3 to +0.4 | 605 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 10:39 | 13:20 | 0:05–23:59 | |
| Points | 3.4 | 5.4 | 0.0–15.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 51.7% | 59.5% | 0.0%–100.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-11 | Nevada | L 45–80 | 10:12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026-03-03 | Grand Canyon | L 60–86 | 10:15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Wyoming | L 62–66 | 9:27 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 66.7% |
| 2026-02-24 | San Jose St. | L 80–86 | 10:51 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 66.7% |
| 2026-02-21 | UNLV | L 66–91 | 12:32 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-17 | New Mexico | L 61–98 | 22:36 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-14 | Fresno St. | L 63–93 | 22:57 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 72.2% |
| 2026-02-10 | Colorado St. | L 74–91 | 16:45 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 66.7% |
| 2026-02-07 | San Diego St. | L 54–88 | 15:41 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-03 | Grand Canyon | L 57–81 | 23:59 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 75.0% |
| 2026-01-31 | Fresno St. | L 62–79 | 19:51 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 66.7% |
| 2026-01-24 | Boise St. | L 54–96 | 9:17 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 100.0% |
| 2026-01-20 | Colorado St. | L 52–81 | 2:09 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | — |
| 2026-01-17 | Nevada | L 66–81 | 0:05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |