Aden Holloway
Alabama · 2025–26 · 28 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
798:34 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 28
- Minutes per game
- 28:31
- Points per game
- 16.8
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.8 / 3.8
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 16.8 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Per 40 minutes | 23.6 | 3.9 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| Season totals | 471 | 77 | 106 | 17 | 0 | 41 | 51 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 151–314 | 48.1% | 11.2 | 15.7 |
| 2P | 77–145 | 53.1% | 5.2 | 7.3 |
| 3P | 74–169 | 43.8% | 6.0 | 8.5 |
| FT | 95–110 | 86.4% | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.9% | 65.0% | 53.8% | 35.0% | 2.59 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Alabama · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $490K
- 80% range $320K to $765K
- Median share of team pool
- 13.3%
- team pool $3.55M, 80% range $2.55M to $4.95M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $490K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $19K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 57.2%
- Sufficient evidence
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Alabama: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Alabama | $490Kspeculative | $320K to $765K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +4.6 | +3.4 to +5.5 | Sufficient evidence | +4.6 | +0.0 | +5.9range +5.2 to +6.4 | 2,814 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Alabama | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +3.3 | +2.2 to +4.4 | Sufficient evidence | +3.5 | -0.2 | +4.1range +3.6 to +4.7 | 2,811 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Auburn | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +3.0 | +1.8 to +4.0 | Sufficient evidence | +1.7 | +1.3 | +2.5range +2.1 to +2.9 | 2,274 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 28:29 | 28:31 | 21:04–34:43 | |
| Points | 16.4 | 16.8 | 0.0–26.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 59.1% | 59.4% | 0.0%–110.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Ole Miss | L 79–80 | 25:23 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 58.3% |
| 2026-03-07 | Auburn | W 96–84 | 28:00 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 53.6% |
| 2026-03-03 | Georgia | L 88–98 | 31:56 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 44.4% |
| 2026-02-28 | Tennessee | W 71–69 | 27:56 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 85.7% |
| 2026-02-25 | Mississippi St. | W 100–75 | 29:08 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 53.6% |
| 2026-02-21 | LSU | W 90–83 | 27:28 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 42.3% |
| 2026-02-18 | Arkansas | W 117–115 | 31:20 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 110.0% |
| 2026-02-14 | South Carolina | W 89–75 | 26:04 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 88.9% |
| 2026-02-11 | Ole Miss | W 93–74 | 25:07 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 45.5% |
| 2026-02-07 | Auburn | W 96–92 | 30:47 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 45.8% |
| 2026-02-04 | Texas A&M | W 100–97 | 32:55 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 9-12 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-01 | Florida | L 77–100 | 26:58 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 70.8% |
| 2026-01-27 | Missouri | W 90–64 | 25:07 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 31.3% |
| 2026-01-17 | Oklahoma | W 83–81 | 27:51 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 43.8% |
| 2026-01-13 | Mississippi St. | W 97–82 | 29:18 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 68.8% |
| 2026-01-10 | Texas | L 88–92 | 29:16 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 45.5% |
| 2026-01-07 | Vanderbilt | L 90–96 | 26:45 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 58.3% |
| 2026-01-03 | Kentucky | W 89–74 | 33:49 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7-11 | 6-8 | 6-8 | 90.9% |
| 2025-12-29 | Yale | W 102–78 | 28:17 | 26 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9-15 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 76.7% |
| 2025-12-21 | Kennesaw St. | W 92–81 | 27:15 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 55.0% |
| 2025-12-17 | South Fla. | W 104–93 | 27:39 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8-14 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 71.4% |
| 2025-12-13 | Arizona | L 75–96 | 21:04 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-27 | Maryland | W 105–72 | 26:42 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 83.3% |
| 2025-11-26 | UNLV | W 115–76 | 25:26 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9-14 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 82.1% |
| 2025-11-24 | Gonzaga | L 85–95 | 28:14 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4-15 | 2-10 | 3-3 | 33.3% |
| 2025-11-19 | Illinois | W 90–86 | 31:22 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 45.5% |
| 2025-11-13 | Purdue | L 80–87 | 34:43 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 73.1% |
| 2025-11-08 | St. John's (NY) | W 103–96 | 32:44 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9-18 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 55.6% |