Utah

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Utah, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Terrence Brown	80.0%	+0.8range -0.3 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	+4.4range +3.9 to +4.8Sufficient evidence	$610KspeculativeLoading	$280K to $1.10MLoading
Keanu Dawes	77.6%	+1.1range +0.1 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	+4.4range +3.9 to +4.8Sufficient evidence	$675KspeculativeLoading	$395K to $1.25MLoading
Don McHenry	76.5%	-0.5range -1.6 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+3.8range +3.3 to +4.2Sufficient evidence	$355KspeculativeLoading	$31K to $645KLoading
Seydou Traore	69.6%	-0.4range -1.6 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+3.5range +2.9 to +3.9Sufficient evidence	$320KspeculativeLoading	$29K to $570KLoading
James Okonkwo	50.2%	+1.0range +0.0 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	+3.0range +2.6 to +3.3Sufficient evidence	$420KspeculativeLoading	$235K to $775KLoading
Kendyl Sanders	48.5%	-0.2range -1.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidence	+2.6range +2.1 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	$285KspeculativeLoading	$33K to $520KLoading
Obomate Abbey	36.3%	+0.2range -1.3 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	+2.0range +1.7 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	$235KspeculativeLoading	$38K to $450KLoading
Josh Hayes	33.6%	-0.1range -1.2 to +1.0Sufficient evidence	+1.8range +1.6 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	$200KspeculativeLoading	$36K to $355KLoading
Jacob Patrick	13.0%	+1.9range +0.7 to +3.1Limited evidence	+0.9range +0.8 to +1.0Limited evidence	$175KspeculativeLoading	$98K to $445KLoading
Lucas Langarita	5.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$26Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading
Ibrahima Traore	4.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$26Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading
Jahki Howard	3.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$26Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading
Jerry Huang	1.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$26Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $3.55M; 80% Range $2.55M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.55M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 4 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Terrence Brown	80.0%	$610K	$280K to $1.10M	16.9%	$610K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidence
Keanu Dawes	77.6%	$675K	$395K to $1.25M	18.0%	$675K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidence
Don McHenry	76.5%	$355K	$31K to $645K	11.0%	$355K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Seydou Traore	69.6%	$320K	$29K to $570K	10.0%	$320K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
James Okonkwo	50.2%	$420K	$235K to $775K	11.4%	$420K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidence
Kendyl Sanders	48.5%	$285K	$33K to $520K	8.5%	$285K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Obomate Abbey	36.3%	$235K	$38K to $450K	6.8%	$235K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Josh Hayes	33.6%	$200K	$36K to $355K	6.1%	$200K in all four	$26K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jacob Patrick	13.0%	$175K	$98K to $445K	4.4%	$175K in all four	$26K	Limited evidence
Lucas Langarita	5.1%	$26K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$26K in all four	$26K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Ibrahima Traore	4.8%	$26K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$26K in all four	$26K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Jahki Howard	3.6%	$26K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$26K in all four	$26K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Jerry Huang	1.3%	$26K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$26K in all four	$26K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.55M	$2.55M to $4.95M	100%	$3.55M in all four	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of Utah (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$16,981,671
Men's basketball expenses	$8,954,515
Athletics department expenses	$118,667,209
Athletics department revenue	$125,167,576

Coverage and exclusions

28 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (88%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

4 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$16,981,671	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$8,954,515	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	2
3 or more days	28

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology