Tulane

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Tulane, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Rowan Brumbaugh	89.9%	+0.7range -0.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	+6.0range +5.3 to +6.6Sufficient evidence	$185KspeculativeLoading	$62K to $495KLoading
Curtis Williams Jr.	81.0%	-0.7range -1.7 to +0.4Sufficient evidence	+4.8range +4.2 to +5.5Sufficient evidence	$80KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $245KLoading
Asher Woods	77.9%	-0.5range -1.6 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+4.8range +4.1 to +5.4Sufficient evidence	$87KspeculativeLoading	$8K to $260KLoading
Scotty Middleton	61.7%	+0.1range -1.3 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	+4.1range +3.5 to +4.7Sufficient evidence	$92KspeculativeLoading	$10K to $260KLoading
Tyler Ringgold	60.5%	+0.2range -1.0 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	+4.1range +3.5 to +4.7Sufficient evidence	$105KspeculativeLoading	$22K to $295KLoading
Percy Daniels	39.2%	+0.1range -1.2 to +1.1Sufficient evidence	+2.7range +2.2 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	$63KspeculativeLoading	$10K to $190KLoading
KJ Greene	36.3%	+0.7range -0.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	+2.6range +2.4 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	$79KspeculativeLoading	$25K to $220KLoading
Josiah Moore	27.1%	+1.2range +0.1 to +2.2Sufficient evidence	+2.1range +1.9 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	$75KspeculativeLoading	$26K to $230KLoading
Luke Rasmussen	21.6%	-0.1range -1.6 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	+1.5range +1.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	$35KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $110KLoading
Davion Bradford	3.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$6Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $15KLoading
Robert Moore	0.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$6Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $15KLoading
Jake Shapiro	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$6Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $15KLoading
Vasilije Kuridza	0.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$6Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $15KLoading
Joseph Teich	0.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$6Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $15KLoading
Luke Cronin	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$6Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $15KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $940K; 80% Range $425K to $2.15M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $795K to $995K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 15; 6 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Rowan Brumbaugh	89.9%	$185K	$62K to $495K	19.2%	$160K to $200K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Curtis Williams Jr.	81.0%	$80K	$6K to $245K	11.5%	$69K to $86K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Asher Woods	77.9%	$87K	$8K to $260K	12.0%	$74K to $93K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Scotty Middleton	61.7%	$92K	$10K to $260K	11.1%	$79K to $99K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tyler Ringgold	60.5%	$105K	$22K to $295K	11.8%	$89K to $110K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Percy Daniels	39.2%	$63K	$10K to $190K	7.6%	$54K to $68K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
KJ Greene	36.3%	$79K	$25K to $220K	8.0%	$68K to $84K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Josiah Moore	27.1%	$75K	$26K to $230K	7.1%	$64K to $79K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Luke Rasmussen	21.6%	$35K	$7K to $110K	4.2%	$30K to $37K	$6K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Davion Bradford	3.3%	$6K	$2K to $15K	0.7%	$5K to $6K	$6K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Robert Moore	0.6%	$6K	$2K to $15K	0.7%	$5K to $6K	$6K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Jake Shapiro	0.3%	$6K	$2K to $15K	0.7%	$5K to $6K	$6K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Vasilije Kuridza	0.2%	$6K	$2K to $15K	0.7%	$5K to $6K	$6K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Joseph Teich	0.2%	$6K	$2K to $15K	0.7%	$5K to $6K	$6K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Luke Cronin	0.1%	$6K	$2K to $15K	0.7%	$5K to $6K	$6K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$940K	$425K to $2.15M	100%	$795K to $995K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Tulane University of Louisiana (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$3,874,944
Men's basketball expenses	$5,621,840
Athletics department expenses	$66,211,945
Athletics department revenue	$66,211,945

Coverage and exclusions

30 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

2 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$3,874,944	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$5,621,840	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched through an NCES IPEDS institution alias, with state and home-venue city agreeing.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	2
3 or more days	28

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	2
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology