St Joseph's PA

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for St Joseph's PA, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Derek Simpson	86.6%	+2.6range +1.5 to +3.5Sufficient evidence	+6.9range +6.3 to +7.5Sufficient evidence	$135KspeculativeLoading	$56K to $320KLoading
Jaiden Glover-Toscano	74.2%	+1.2range -0.0 to +2.2Sufficient evidence	+5.4range +4.7 to +6.0Sufficient evidence	$74KspeculativeLoading	$22K to $180KLoading
Dasear Haskins	71.1%	+1.7range +0.3 to +2.8Sufficient evidence	+5.4range +4.7 to +5.9Sufficient evidence	$84KspeculativeLoading	$27K to $205KLoading
Justice Ajogbor	67.1%	+2.7range +1.5 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	+5.6range +5.0 to +6.1Sufficient evidence	$110KspeculativeLoading	$45K to $280KLoading
Austin Williford	64.8%	+0.9range -0.2 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	+4.7range +4.0 to +5.2Sufficient evidence	$59KspeculativeLoading	$15K to $150KLoading
Anthony Finkley	47.6%	+1.5range +0.0 to +3.3Sufficient evidence	+3.6range +3.0 to +4.3Sufficient evidence	$57KspeculativeLoading	$17K to $150KLoading
Khaafiq Myers	36.3%	+0.6range -0.6 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	+2.6range +2.2 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	$32KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $83KLoading
Jaden Smith	21.7%	-0.7range -1.7 to +0.4Sufficient evidence	+1.4range +1.2 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	$12KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $37KLoading
Deuce Jones II	18.4%	-0.3range -1.2 to +0.7Sufficient evidence	+1.2range +1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	$13KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $36KLoading
Mekai Johnson	3.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $10KLoading
Kevin Kearney	3.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $10KLoading
Steven Solano	2.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $10KLoading
Al Amadou	2.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $10KLoading
Billy Rayer	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $10KLoading
Will Lange	0.2%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $10KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $640K; 80% Range $280K to $1.40M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $615K to $740K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 15; 6 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Derek Simpson	86.6%	$135K	$56K to $320K	20.3%	$130K to $155K	$4K	Sufficient evidence
Jaiden Glover-Toscano	74.2%	$74K	$22K to $180K	12.9%	$71K to $85K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dasear Haskins	71.1%	$84K	$27K to $205K	13.7%	$81K to $97K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Justice Ajogbor	67.1%	$110K	$45K to $280K	16.3%	$105K to $130K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Austin Williford	64.8%	$59K	$15K to $150K	10.6%	$56K to $67K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Anthony Finkley	47.6%	$57K	$17K to $150K	9.4%	$54K to $65K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Khaafiq Myers	36.3%	$32K	$7K to $83K	5.8%	$30K to $36K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaden Smith	21.7%	$12K	$3K to $37K	2.4%	$12K to $14K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Deuce Jones II	18.4%	$13K	$4K to $36K	2.5%	$13K to $15K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mekai Johnson	3.8%	$4K	$2K to $10K	0.7%	$4K to $5K	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Kevin Kearney	3.4%	$4K	$2K to $10K	0.7%	$4K to $5K	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Steven Solano	2.4%	$4K	$2K to $10K	0.7%	$4K to $5K	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Al Amadou	2.0%	$4K	$2K to $10K	0.7%	$4K to $5K	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Billy Rayer	0.3%	$4K	$2K to $10K	0.7%	$4K to $5K	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Will Lange	0.2%	$4K	$2K to $10K	0.7%	$4K to $5K	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$640K	$280K to $1.40M	100%	$615K to $740K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Saint Joseph's University - Philadelphia (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$4,608,622	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$4,608,622
Athletics department expenses	$24,189,003
Athletics department revenue	$24,189,003

Coverage and exclusions

32 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (97%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

1 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$4,608,622	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$4,608,622	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	2
3 or more days	29

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.2
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology