San Diego

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for San Diego, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Toneari Lane	65.8%	-2.8range -4.4 to -1.4Sufficient evidence	+2.7range +2.0 to +3.3Sufficient evidence	$14KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $99KLoading
Adrian McIntyre	61.2%	+1.8range +0.7 to +2.8Sufficient evidence	+4.0range +3.6 to +4.4Sufficient evidence	$180KspeculativeLoading	$67K to $530KLoading
Juanse Gorosito	61.0%	+0.4range -1.0 to +1.9Sufficient evidence	+3.6range +3.0 to +4.1Sufficient evidence	$98KspeculativeLoading	$22K to $280KLoading
Ty-Laur Johnson	56.7%	-0.6range -1.7 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+3.1range +2.6 to +3.5Sufficient evidence	$54KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $155KLoading
Vuk Boskovic	55.4%	-0.9range -1.9 to -0.1Sufficient evidence	+2.9range +2.5 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$41KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $135KLoading
Dominique Ford	38.2%	-0.8range -1.9 to +0.4Sufficient evidence	+2.1range +1.8 to +2.4Sufficient evidence	$33KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $100KLoading
Assane Diop	37.7%	-0.9range -2.1 to +0.4Sufficient evidence	+2.0range +1.7 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	$31KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $99KLoading
Tim Moore	34.4%	-0.7range -1.8 to +0.4Sufficient evidence	+1.9range +1.6 to +2.2Sufficient evidence	$30KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $90KLoading
Gavin Ripp	29.8%	+0.0range -0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	+1.8range +1.6 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	$42KspeculativeLoading	$9K to $125KLoading
Alejandro Aviles	21.2%	+0.7range -0.4 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	+1.4range +1.2 to +1.5Sufficient evidence	$41KspeculativeLoading	$13K to $115KLoading
Darrae Goodwin	14.6%	+0.4range -0.2 to +1.2Limited evidence	+0.9range +0.8 to +1.0Limited evidence	$27KspeculativeLoading	$9K to $72KLoading
Brandon Benjamin	8.5%	+1.0range +0.2 to +1.7Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence	$22KspeculativeLoading	$8K to $60KLoading
Emmanuel Callas	6.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $10KLoading
Piotr Winkowski	6.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $10KLoading
Neel Beniwal	1.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $10KLoading
Josh Hecht	0.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $10KLoading
Nick Del Bosque	0.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $10KLoading
Caleb Versher	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$4Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$2K to $10KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $735K; 80% Range $330K to $1.65M
Tier: Mid and high major; low to medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $705K to $775K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 18; 6 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Toneari Lane	65.8%	$14K	$2K to $99K	2.0%	$13K to $15K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Adrian McIntyre	61.2%	$180K	$67K to $530K	21.9%	$175K to $190K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Juanse Gorosito	61.0%	$98K	$22K to $280K	13.7%	$95K to $105K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ty-Laur Johnson	56.7%	$54K	$4K to $155K	9.3%	$52K to $57K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Vuk Boskovic	55.4%	$41K	$3K to $135K	7.9%	$39K to $43K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dominique Ford	38.2%	$33K	$4K to $100K	5.9%	$32K to $34K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Assane Diop	37.7%	$31K	$3K to $99K	5.7%	$29K to $32K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tim Moore	34.4%	$30K	$4K to $90K	5.4%	$28K to $31K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Gavin Ripp	29.8%	$42K	$9K to $125K	6.2%	$41K to $44K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Alejandro Aviles	21.2%	$41K	$13K to $115K	5.3%	$39K to $43K	$4K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Darrae Goodwin	14.6%	$27K	$9K to $72K	3.6%	$26K to $28K	$4K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Brandon Benjamin	8.5%	$22K	$8K to $60K	2.7%	$21K to $23K	$4K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Emmanuel Callas	6.7%	$4K	$2K to $10K	0.5%	$4K in all four	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Piotr Winkowski	6.3%	$4K	$2K to $10K	0.5%	$4K in all four	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Neel Beniwal	1.1%	$4K	$2K to $10K	0.5%	$4K in all four	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Josh Hecht	0.8%	$4K	$2K to $10K	0.5%	$4K in all four	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Nick Del Bosque	0.4%	$4K	$2K to $10K	0.5%	$4K in all four	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Caleb Versher	0.3%	$4K	$2K to $10K	0.5%	$4K in all four	$4K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$735K	$330K to $1.65M	100%	$705K to $775K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, University of San Diego (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$5,328,384	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$5,328,384
Athletics department expenses	$37,050,500
Athletics department revenue	$37,050,500

Coverage and exclusions

27 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (87%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

4 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$5,328,384	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$5,328,384	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	3
3 or more days	26

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology