Miami OH

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Miami OH, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Brant Byers	78.6%	+1.7range +0.8 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	+5.5range +4.9 to +6.2Sufficient evidence	$35KspeculativeLoading	$10K to $110KLoading
Peter Suder	76.8%	+3.2range +1.8 to +4.3Sufficient evidence	+6.2range +5.4 to +6.8Sufficient evidence	$51KspeculativeLoading	$18K to $140KLoading
Eian Elmer	76.7%	+2.7range +1.7 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	+5.9range +5.2 to +6.5Sufficient evidence	$44KspeculativeLoading	$15K to $125KLoading
Luke Skaljac	66.2%	+3.1range +1.8 to +4.3Sufficient evidence	+5.2range +4.5 to +5.9Sufficient evidence	$43KspeculativeLoading	$14K to $125KLoading
Antwone Woolfolk	58.3%	+4.3range +3.0 to +5.4Sufficient evidence	+5.0range +4.4 to +5.5Sufficient evidence	$51KspeculativeLoading	$18K to $150KLoading
Almar Atlason	47.0%	+0.5range -0.7 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.4 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$14KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $47KLoading
Trey Perry	29.5%	-0.4range -1.7 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	+1.5range +1.3 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	$7KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $26KLoading
Justin Kirby	28.3%	+1.2range -0.2 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	+1.7range +1.4 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	$12KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $38KLoading
Evan Ipsaro	22.5%	+2.6range +1.9 to +3.4Sufficient evidence	+1.6range +1.4 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	$14KspeculativeLoading	$5K to $40KLoading
Tyler Robbins	8.3%	+0.8range -0.0 to +1.6Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $13KLoading
Kyle Waltz	6.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading
Brady Ganley	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading
Jackson Kotecki	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading
Eli Yofan	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading
Ethan Wright	0.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $295K; 80% Range $110K to $805K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $260K to $325K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 15; 5 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Brant Byers	78.6%	$35K	$10K to $110K	13.3%	$30K to $38K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Peter Suder	76.8%	$51K	$18K to $140K	16.6%	$44K to $55K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Eian Elmer	76.7%	$44K	$15K to $125K	15.2%	$38K to $47K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Luke Skaljac	66.2%	$43K	$14K to $125K	14.2%	$37K to $46K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Antwone Woolfolk	58.3%	$51K	$18K to $150K	16.0%	$44K to $55K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Almar Atlason	47.0%	$14K	$3K to $47K	5.7%	$12K to $15K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Trey Perry	29.5%	$7K	$1K to $26K	2.8%	$6K to $7K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Justin Kirby	28.3%	$12K	$3K to $38K	4.6%	$10K to $13K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Evan Ipsaro	22.5%	$14K	$5K to $40K	4.9%	$13K to $16K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tyler Robbins	8.3%	$4K	$1K to $13K	1.6%	$4K to $5K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kyle Waltz	6.8%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Brady Ganley	0.3%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Jackson Kotecki	0.3%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Eli Yofan	0.3%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Ethan Wright	0.1%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.7%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$295K	$110K to $805K	100%	$260K to $325K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Miami University-Oxford (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,901,957	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,901,957
Athletics department expenses	$40,792,930
Athletics department revenue	$41,169,189

Coverage and exclusions

29 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

2 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$2,901,957	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$2,901,957	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched through an NCES IPEDS institution alias, with state and home-venue city agreeing.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
2 days	1
3 or more days	29

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	5

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology