Howard

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Howard, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Cam Gillus	84.6%	+1.8range +0.8 to +2.8Sufficient evidence	+5.2range +4.5 to +5.8Sufficient evidence	$33KspeculativeLoading	$11K to $94KLoading
Bryce Harris	82.7%	+3.8range +2.2 to +5.0Sufficient evidence	+6.0range +5.2 to +6.8Sufficient evidence	$57KspeculativeLoading	$20K to $170KLoading
Ose Okojie	67.0%	+2.2range +0.8 to +3.3Sufficient evidence	+4.1range +3.5 to +4.8Sufficient evidence	$30KspeculativeLoading	$10K to $87KLoading
Cedric Taylor III	62.3%	+2.4range +1.2 to +3.4Sufficient evidence	+3.9range +3.4 to +4.4Sufficient evidence	$30KspeculativeLoading	$10K to $85KLoading
Alex Cotton	61.1%	+1.2range -0.0 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	+3.4range +2.9 to +3.9Sufficient evidence	$19KspeculativeLoading	$5K to $62KLoading
Travelle Bryson	41.1%	+0.5range -0.7 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	+2.1range +1.8 to +2.4Sufficient evidence	$11KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $36KLoading
Danas Kazakevicius	32.8%	+0.1range -1.2 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	+1.5range +1.3 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	$7KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $26KLoading
Isaiah Brown	23.8%	+0.3range -0.5 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	+1.1range +1.0 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $20KLoading
Ed Holland III	14.2%	-1.9range -2.7 to -0.9Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $9KLoading
Calvin Robins Jr.	11.0%	-0.7range -1.7 to +0.3Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $9KLoading
Jeremiah Johnson	9.1%	+0.0range -0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence	+0.4range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $9KLoading
BJ Powell	4.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading
Julian Johnson	2.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading
Stefan Isailovic	1.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading
River Smith	0.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading
Shane Frazier	0.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $225K; 80% Range $82K to $600K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $220K to $230K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 16; 5 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Cam Gillus	84.6%	$33K	$11K to $94K	16.0%	$32K to $33K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Bryce Harris	82.7%	$57K	$20K to $170K	23.9%	$56K to $58K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ose Okojie	67.0%	$30K	$10K to $87K	13.9%	$29K to $31K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cedric Taylor III	62.3%	$30K	$10K to $85K	13.2%	$29K to $30K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Alex Cotton	61.1%	$19K	$5K to $62K	10.1%	$19K to $20K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Travelle Bryson	41.1%	$11K	$2K to $36K	6.0%	$11K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Danas Kazakevicius	32.8%	$7K	$1K to $26K	4.2%	$7K to $8K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Isaiah Brown	23.8%	$6K	$2K to $20K	3.4%	$6K to $7K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Ed Holland III	14.2%	$3K	$1K to $9K	1.0%	$2K to $3K	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Calvin Robins Jr.	11.0%	$3K	$1K to $9K	1.4%	$3K in all four	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jeremiah Johnson	9.1%	$3K	$1K to $9K	1.5%	$3K in all four	$1K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
BJ Powell	4.6%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.6%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Julian Johnson	2.3%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.6%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Stefan Isailovic	1.6%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.6%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
River Smith	0.9%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.6%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Shane Frazier	0.9%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.6%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$225K	$82K to $600K	100%	$220K to $230K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Howard University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,986,273
Men's basketball expenses	$2,238,824
Athletics department expenses	$20,688,627
Athletics department revenue	$26,278,450

Coverage and exclusions

29 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

2 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$1,986,273	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$2,238,824	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	2
2 days	6
3 or more days	22

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.3
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	3
Longest run of consecutive away games	5

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology