Georgia Tech

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Georgia Tech, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Kowacie Reeves Jr.	70.4%	+0.1range -1.0 to +1.0Sufficient evidence	+3.6range +3.2 to +4.0Sufficient evidence	$425KspeculativeLoading	$59K to $685KLoading
Lamar Washington	66.2%	-0.7range -2.1 to +0.9Sufficient evidence	+3.2range +2.6 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	$330KspeculativeLoading	$28K to $625KLoading
Jaeden Mustaf	65.5%	+0.1range -1.4 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	+3.4range +2.8 to +3.9Sufficient evidence	$420KspeculativeLoading	$47K to $765KLoading
Akai Fleming	62.2%	-0.1range -1.4 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	+3.2range +2.7 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	$380KspeculativeLoading	$36K to $760KLoading
Baye Ndongo	58.1%	+1.3range -0.1 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	+3.4range +2.9 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	$580KspeculativeLoading	$310K to $1.30MLoading
Kam Craft	46.4%	-0.7range -2.0 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+2.3range +1.9 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	$220KspeculativeLoading	$25K to $410KLoading
Chas Kelley III	42.9%	-1.1range -2.1 to -0.3Sufficient evidence	+2.0range +1.7 to +2.2Sufficient evidence	$160KspeculativeLoading	$22K to $330KLoading
Mouhamed Sylla	26.4%	+1.8range +0.9 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	+1.7range +1.5 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	$330KspeculativeLoading	$190K to $950KLoading
Cole Kirouac	22.3%	-0.1range -1.2 to +1.0Sufficient evidence	+1.2range +1.0 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	$150KspeculativeLoading	$36K to $270KLoading
Eric Chatfield Jr	15.0%	-1.4range -2.2 to -0.5Sufficient evidence	+0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	$67KspeculativeLoading	$21K to $130KLoading
Peyton Marshall	14.0%	+0.7range -0.1 to +1.4Limited evidence	+0.8range +0.7 to +0.9Limited evidence	$135KspeculativeLoading	$72K to $240KLoading
Davi Remagen	10.3%	+0.1range -0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence	$87KspeculativeLoading	$40K to $135KLoading
Brandon Stores Jr.	0.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$27Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$15K to $43KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $3.60M; 80% Range $2.60M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.60M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 13; 1 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Kowacie Reeves Jr.	70.4%	$425K	$59K to $685K	12.7%	$425K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Lamar Washington	66.2%	$330K	$28K to $625K	10.2%	$330K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaeden Mustaf	65.5%	$420K	$47K to $765K	12.1%	$420K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Akai Fleming	62.2%	$380K	$36K to $760K	11.0%	$380K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Baye Ndongo	58.1%	$580K	$310K to $1.30M	15.2%	$580K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Kam Craft	46.4%	$220K	$25K to $410K	6.8%	$220K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chas Kelley III	42.9%	$160K	$22K to $330K	5.0%	$160K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Mouhamed Sylla	26.4%	$330K	$190K to $950K	8.6%	$330K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidence
Cole Kirouac	22.3%	$150K	$36K to $270K	4.4%	$150K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Eric Chatfield Jr	15.0%	$67K	$21K to $130K	2.1%	$67K in all four	$27K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Peyton Marshall	14.0%	$135K	$72K to $240K	3.6%	$135K in all four	$27K	Limited evidence
Davi Remagen	10.3%	$87K	$40K to $135K	2.5%	$87K in all four	$27K	Limited evidence
Brandon Stores Jr.	0.4%	$27K	$15K to $43K	0.8%	$27K in all four	$27K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.60M	$2.60M to $4.95M	100%	$3.60M in all four	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Georgia Institute of Technology-Main Campus (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$14,536,539
Men's basketball expenses	$12,013,953
Athletics department expenses	$140,430,227
Athletics department revenue	$140,430,227

Coverage and exclusions

28 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (90%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

3 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$14,536,539	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$12,013,953	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched through an NCES IPEDS institution alias, with state and home-venue city agreeing.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
3 or more days	29

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	0
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology