Col Charleston

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Col Charleston, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Jlynn Counter	75.2%	+2.3range +1.1 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	+6.2range +5.6 to +6.8Sufficient evidence	$56KspeculativeLoading	$19K to $170KLoading
Martin Kalu	67.8%	-0.7range -2.2 to +0.6Sufficient evidence	+4.3range +3.5 to +5.0Sufficient evidence	$12KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $54KLoading
Connor Hickman	62.7%	+0.3range -0.9 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	+4.4range +3.7 to +5.0Sufficient evidence	$21KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $71KLoading
Christian Reeves	51.2%	+2.5range +1.1 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	+4.4range +3.9 to +4.8Sufficient evidence	$40KspeculativeLoading	$13K to $130KLoading
Chol Machot	48.6%	+1.0range -0.2 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	+3.7range +3.2 to +4.2Sufficient evidence	$24KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $74KLoading
Colby Duggan	43.2%	+0.5range -0.9 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	+3.1range +2.6 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	$17KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $55KLoading
Chris Davis Jr	42.9%	+1.2range -0.2 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	+3.3range +2.8 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	$22KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $73KLoading
Chadlyn Traylor	41.5%	+0.9range -0.2 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	+3.1range +2.7 to +3.5Sufficient evidence	$19KspeculativeLoading	$5K to $61KLoading
Jaxon Prunty	39.6%	+1.0range -0.4 to +2.6Sufficient evidence	+3.0range +2.5 to +3.5Sufficient evidence	$20KspeculativeLoading	$4K to $65KLoading
Bryce Baker	8.7%	-1.0range -1.9 to -0.1Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence	$3KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $10KLoading
Kendall Taylor	6.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
Mister Dean	4.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
Will Mortimore	3.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
Djordje Curcic	3.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
Joey Scarpitti	0.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading
AJ Fowler	0.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $5KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $275K; 80% Range $99K to $735K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $250K to $365K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 16; 6 floor only

The widest scenario range, $135K to $970K, is wider than the 80% Range above (soft check S5). Methodology

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Jlynn Counter	75.2%	$56K	$19K to $170K	19.5%	$52K to $77K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Martin Kalu	67.8%	$12K	$1K to $54K	6.7%	$12K to $17K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Connor Hickman	62.7%	$21K	$3K to $71K	9.8%	$19K to $28K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Christian Reeves	51.2%	$40K	$13K to $130K	13.6%	$36K to $53K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chol Machot	48.6%	$24K	$6K to $74K	9.6%	$22K to $32K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Colby Duggan	43.2%	$17K	$3K to $55K	7.3%	$15K to $22K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chris Davis Jr	42.9%	$22K	$6K to $73K	8.8%	$20K to $30K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chadlyn Traylor	41.5%	$19K	$5K to $61K	8.0%	$17K to $26K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaxon Prunty	39.6%	$20K	$4K to $65K	8.1%	$18K to $27K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Bryce Baker	8.7%	$3K	$1K to $10K	1.3%	$3K to $4K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kendall Taylor	6.8%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.6%	$1K to $2K	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Mister Dean	4.3%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.6%	$1K to $2K	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Will Mortimore	3.9%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.6%	$1K to $2K	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Djordje Curcic	3.7%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.6%	$1K to $2K	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
AJ Fowler	0.0%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.6%	$1K to $2K	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Joey Scarpitti	0.0%	$2K	$1K to $5K	0.6%	$1K to $2K	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$275K	$99K to $735K	100%	$250K to $365K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, College of Charleston (NCAA Division I without football)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$5,415,376	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$5,415,376
Athletics department expenses	$25,451,848
Athletics department revenue	$25,451,848

Coverage and exclusions

31 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (100%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

No exclusions were recorded.

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$5,415,376	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$5,415,376	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	2
2 days	6
3 or more days	22

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	2
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology