Campbell

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Campbell, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
D.J. Smith	90.9%	+2.0range +1.1 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	+6.7range +6.1 to +7.3Sufficient evidence	$67KspeculativeLoading	$24K to $200KLoading
Cam Gregory	86.6%	-0.3range -1.1 to +0.4Sufficient evidence	+5.3range +4.6 to +5.8Sufficient evidence	$21KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $72KLoading
Jeremiah Johnson	84.4%	+0.8range -0.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	+5.7range +5.2 to +6.3Sufficient evidence	$38KspeculativeLoading	$11K to $115KLoading
Dovydas Butka	74.7%	+1.2range +0.2 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	+5.3range +4.8 to +5.8Sufficient evidence	$38KspeculativeLoading	$12K to $115KLoading
Tasos Cook	60.5%	-1.6range -2.7 to -0.6Sufficient evidence	+3.3range +2.8 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	$7KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $38KLoading
Muneer Newton	50.6%	-0.1range -1.1 to +0.7Sufficient evidence	+3.3range +2.9 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	$14KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $49KLoading
Chris Fields Jr.	33.8%	+2.2range +1.0 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	+2.7range +2.4 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	$27KspeculativeLoading	$9K to $86KLoading
Dominykas Butka	9.8%	-0.9range -1.4 to -0.2Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $11KLoading
Terren Frank	4.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading
Enoch Kalambay	1.8%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading
Broc Bidwell	1.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading
Daniel Marcellinus	0.4%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $245K; 80% Range $92K to $670K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $220K to $255K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 4 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
D.J. Smith	90.9%	$67K	$24K to $200K	25.3%	$60K to $70K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Cam Gregory	86.6%	$21K	$3K to $72K	11.7%	$19K to $22K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jeremiah Johnson	84.4%	$38K	$11K to $115K	16.5%	$34K to $40K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dovydas Butka	74.7%	$38K	$12K to $115K	16.0%	$34K to $40K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tasos Cook	60.5%	$7K	$1K to $38K	4.5%	$7K to $8K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Muneer Newton	50.6%	$14K	$2K to $49K	7.7%	$13K to $15K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Chris Fields Jr.	33.8%	$27K	$9K to $86K	10.0%	$24K to $28K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Dominykas Butka	9.8%	$4K	$1K to $11K	1.7%	$3K to $4K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Terren Frank	4.9%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Enoch Kalambay	1.8%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Broc Bidwell	1.6%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Daniel Marcellinus	0.4%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$245K	$92K to $670K	100%	$220K to $255K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Campbell University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,126,965
Men's basketball expenses	$2,126,966
Athletics department expenses	$28,322,787
Athletics department revenue	$28,322,787

Coverage and exclusions

27 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (84%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

5 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$2,126,965	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$2,126,966	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	2
2 days	9
3 or more days	20

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	4
Longest run of consecutive away games	3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology