C Michigan

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for C Michigan, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Tamario Adley	75.7%	-0.6range -1.8 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+3.6range +3.1 to +4.1Sufficient evidence	$31KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $115KLoading
Nathan Claerbaut	74.8%	-0.1range -1.2 to +0.9Sufficient evidence	+3.7range +3.3 to +4.2Sufficient evidence	$48KspeculativeLoading	$8K to $160KLoading
Phat Phat Brooks	73.8%	-1.4range -2.4 to -0.2Sufficient evidence	+3.3range +2.8 to +3.8Sufficient evidence	$19KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $83KLoading
Keenan Garner	64.3%	-2.0range -3.3 to -1.0Sufficient evidence	+2.7range +2.2 to +3.1Sufficient evidence	$9KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $53KLoading
Logan McIntire	63.6%	+0.2range -0.7 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	+3.3range +3.0 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	$52KspeculativeLoading	$13K to $180KLoading
Nick Mullen	44.8%	-0.6range -1.9 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+2.2range +1.9 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	$21KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $82KLoading
Jaxson Whitaker	42.5%	-2.9range -4.2 to -1.6Sufficient evidence	+1.6range +1.2 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $31KLoading
Jalen Kampen	22.5%	-0.2range -1.1 to +0.9Sufficient evidence	+1.2range +1.1 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	$15KspeculativeLoading	$3K to $57KLoading
Will Ashford	21.5%	-2.7range -3.9 to -1.5Sufficient evidence	+0.9range +0.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidence	$5KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $19KLoading
Rodney Johnson Jr.	9.8%	-0.5range -1.0 to +0.0Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence	$7KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $24KLoading
Kayden Nation	4.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading
Jorden Brooks	2.1%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$2Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$1K to $6KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $270K; 80% Range $100K to $730K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $235K to $285K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 12; 2 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Tamario Adley	75.7%	$31K	$2K to $115K	14.5%	$27K to $33K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nathan Claerbaut	74.8%	$48K	$8K to $160K	17.3%	$42K to $51K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Phat Phat Brooks	73.8%	$19K	$1K to $83K	11.2%	$16K to $20K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Keenan Garner	64.3%	$9K	$1K to $53K	5.5%	$8K to $10K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Logan McIntire	63.6%	$52K	$13K to $180K	16.6%	$46K to $56K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Nick Mullen	44.8%	$21K	$2K to $82K	9.2%	$19K to $23K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jaxson Whitaker	42.5%	$6K	$1K to $31K	1.7%	$5K to $6K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jalen Kampen	22.5%	$15K	$3K to $57K	5.5%	$13K to $16K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Will Ashford	21.5%	$5K	$1K to $19K	1.3%	$4K to $5K	$2K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Rodney Johnson Jr.	9.8%	$7K	$2K to $24K	2.7%	$6K to $7K	$2K	Limited evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Kayden Nation	4.7%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Jorden Brooks	2.1%	$2K	$1K to $6K	0.8%	$2K in all four	$2K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$270K	$100K to $730K	100%	$235K to $285K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Central Michigan University (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$2,549,633	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$2,549,633
Athletics department expenses	$38,536,340
Athletics department revenue	$38,536,340

Coverage and exclusions

25 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (86%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

4 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$2,549,633	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$2,549,633	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
2 days	2
3 or more days	25

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	3
Longest run of consecutive away games	6

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology