Alabama

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Alabama, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Labaron Philon	73.4%	+3.8range +2.6 to +5.4Sufficient evidence	+7.2range +6.3 to +8.0Sufficient evidence	$550KspeculativeLoading	$350K to $860KLoading
Amari Allen	64.9%	+2.8range +1.6 to +4.2Sufficient evidence	+5.8range +5.1 to +6.6Sufficient evidence	$385KspeculativeLoading	$200K to $605KLoading
Aiden Sherrell	58.8%	+6.3range +4.7 to +7.6Sufficient evidence	+6.8range +6.1 to +7.3Sufficient evidence	$675KspeculativeLoading	$425K to $1.25MLoading
Houston Mallette	57.4%	+2.7range +1.5 to +3.6Sufficient evidence	+5.1range +4.5 to +5.6Sufficient evidence	$325KspeculativeLoading	$170K to $490KLoading
Aden Holloway	57.2%	+4.6range +3.4 to +5.5Sufficient evidence	+5.9range +5.2 to +6.4Sufficient evidence	$490KspeculativeLoading	$320K to $765KLoading
Latrell Wrightsell Jr.	54.6%	+3.7range +2.2 to +5.0Sufficient evidence	+5.2range +4.5 to +5.8Sufficient evidence	$390KspeculativeLoading	$240K to $605KLoading
Taylor Bol Bowen	39.0%	+1.2range -0.3 to +2.2Sufficient evidence	+3.0range +2.5 to +3.3Sufficient evidence	$150KspeculativeLoading	$34K to $270KLoading
London Jemison	35.6%	+1.5range +0.3 to +2.7Sufficient evidence	+2.8range +2.4 to +3.2Sufficient evidence	$160KspeculativeLoading	$52K to $270KLoading
Noah Williamson	17.9%	-0.3range -1.3 to +0.8Sufficient evidence	+1.1range +1.0 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	$56KspeculativeLoading	$18K to $115KLoading
Jalil Bethea	15.2%	-0.4range -1.5 to +0.6Sufficient evidence	+1.0range +0.8 to +1.1Sufficient evidence	$48KspeculativeLoading	$16K to $100KLoading
Keitenn Bristow	8.9%	-0.4range -1.1 to +0.4Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence	$37KspeculativeLoading	$16K to $69KLoading
Charles Bediako	8.3%	+1.2range +0.1 to +2.5Limited evidence	+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence	$50KspeculativeLoading	$25K to $80KLoading
Davion Hannah	6.5%	+0.9range +0.1 to +1.7Limited evidence	+0.5range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence	$39KspeculativeLoading	$21K to $64KLoading
Preston Murphy Jr.	0.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$19Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$11K to $31KLoading
Collins Onyejiaka	0.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$19Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$11K to $31KLoading
Jacob Martin	0.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$19Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$11K to $31KLoading
Jack Fagan	0.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$19Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$11K to $31KLoading
Klark James	0.0%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$19Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$11K to $31KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $3.55M; 80% Range $2.55M to $4.95M
Tier: Power 4; medium evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $3.55M in all four; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 18; 5 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Labaron Philon	73.4%	$550K	$350K to $860K	15.2%	$550K in all four	$19K	Sufficient evidence
Amari Allen	64.9%	$385K	$200K to $605K	11.3%	$385K in all four	$19K	Sufficient evidence
Aiden Sherrell	58.8%	$675K	$425K to $1.25M	18.3%	$675K in all four	$19K	Sufficient evidence
Houston Mallette	57.4%	$325K	$170K to $490K	9.6%	$325K in all four	$19K	Sufficient evidence
Aden Holloway	57.2%	$490K	$320K to $765K	13.3%	$490K in all four	$19K	Sufficient evidence
Latrell Wrightsell Jr.	54.6%	$390K	$240K to $605K	11.1%	$390K in all four	$19K	Sufficient evidence
Taylor Bol Bowen	39.0%	$150K	$34K to $270K	4.4%	$150K in all four	$19K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
London Jemison	35.6%	$160K	$52K to $270K	4.7%	$160K in all four	$19K	Sufficient evidence
Noah Williamson	17.9%	$56K	$18K to $115K	1.7%	$56K in all four	$19K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Jalil Bethea	15.2%	$48K	$16K to $100K	1.5%	$48K in all four	$19K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Keitenn Bristow	8.9%	$37K	$16K to $69K	1.1%	$37K in all four	$19K	Limited evidence
Charles Bediako	8.3%	$50K	$25K to $80K	1.5%	$50K in all four	$19K	Limited evidence
Davion Hannah	6.5%	$39K	$21K to $64K	1.2%	$39K in all four	$19K	Limited evidence
Preston Murphy Jr.	0.9%	$19K	$11K to $31K	0.5%	$19K in all four	$19K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Collins Onyejiaka	0.7%	$19K	$11K to $31K	0.5%	$19K in all four	$19K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Jacob Martin	0.5%	$19K	$11K to $31K	0.5%	$19K in all four	$19K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Jack Fagan	0.0%	$19K	$11K to $31K	0.5%	$19K in all four	$19K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Klark James	0.0%	$19K	$11K to $31K	0.5%	$19K in all four	$19K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Team Pool	—	$3.55M	$2.55M to $4.95M	100%	$3.55M in all four	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, The University of Alabama (NCAA Division I-FBS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$24,406,961
Men's basketball expenses	$15,230,030
Athletics department expenses	$229,908,712
Athletics department revenue	$244,551,544

Coverage and exclusions

33 of 35 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

2 of 35 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue	$24,406,961	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$15,230,030	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	2
2 days	1
3 or more days	31

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	0
Longest run of consecutive away games	2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology