JT Toppin
Only corroborated player-season records; not complete career coverage.
Observed career performance
2475:30 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 85
- Minutes per game
- 29:07
- Points per game
- 17.1
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 9.6 / 1.2
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 17.1 | 9.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| Per 40 minutes | 23.5 | 13.1 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 3.5 |
| Season totals | 1453 | 813 | 103 | 91 | 148 | 134 | 216 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 611–1090 | 56.1% | 12.8 | 17.6 |
| 2P | 567–950 | 59.7% | 11.2 | 15.4 |
| 3P | 44–140 | 31.4% | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| FT | 187–298 | 62.8% | 3.5 | 4.8 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.1% | 59.5% | 12.8% | 27.3% | 0.77 |
Combined corroborated seasons only; not complete career coverage. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Linked seasons
| Season | Team | G | MPG | Pts | Reb | Ast | Pts/40 | 3P% | FT% | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 JT Toppin | New Mexico | 28 | 26:10 | 11.4 | 8.7 | 0.4 | 17.4 | 35.7%† | 60.0% | 63.0% |
| 2025 JT Toppin | Texas Tech | 32 | 27:19 | 18.4 | 9.3 | 1.2 | 26.9 | 32.7% | 67.6% | 59.5% |
| 2026 JT Toppin | Texas Tech | 25 | 34:46 | 21.8 | 10.8 | 2.1 | 25.1 | 28.1% | 57.9% | 57.6% |
Career identity corroborated by repeated game, team and individual-statistic matches. Unlinked seasons are excluded.
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Texas Tech · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $645K
- 80% range $420K to $1.10M
- Median share of team pool
- 17.6%
- team pool $3.55M, 80% range $2.60M to $5.00M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $645K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $27K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 63.9%
- Sufficient evidence
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Texas Tech: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Texas Tech | $645Kspeculative | $420K to $1.10M | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +5.3 | +3.8 to +6.7 | Sufficient evidence | +2.6 | +2.7 | +6.2range +5.4 to +6.9 | 2,778 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Texas Tech | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +3.9 | +2.4 to +5.6 | Sufficient evidence | +2.7 | +1.3 | +4.6range +3.9 to +5.4 | 2,975 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | New Mexico | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +4.0 | +2.8 to +5.2 | Sufficient evidence | +1.0 | +3.1 | +4.7range +4.1 to +5.4 | 2,611 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology