Caleb Shaw
Only corroborated player-season records; not complete career coverage.
Observed career performance
1400:17 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 80
- Minutes per game
- 17:30
- Points per game
- 5.7
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.6 / 0.9
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 5.7 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Per 40 minutes | 12.9 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| Season totals | 452 | 209 | 72 | 33 | 5 | 88 | 121 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 160–379 | 42.2% | 4.7 | 10.8 |
| 2P | 97–188 | 51.6% | 2.4 | 5.4 |
| 3P | 63–191 | 33.0% | 2.4 | 5.5 |
| FT | 69–109 | 63.3% | 1.4 | 3.1 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.5% | 52.9% | 50.4% | 28.8% | 0.82 |
Combined corroborated seasons only; not complete career coverage. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Linked seasons
| Season | Team | G | MPG | Pts | Reb | Ast | Pts/40 | 3P% | FT% | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Caleb Shaw | N Colorado | 28 | 16:12 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 10.0 | 21.3% | 59.5% | 41.2% |
| 2025 Caleb Shaw | Grand Canyon | 31 | 16:30 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 13.6 | 40.4% | 66.0% | 57.6% |
| 2026 Caleb Shaw | Grand Canyon | 21 | 20:43 | 7.8 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 15.1 | 37.0% | 64.7%† | 59.6% |
Career identity corroborated by repeated game, team and individual-statistic matches. Unlinked seasons are excluded.
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Grand Canyon · Mid and high major · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $42K
- 80% range $13K to $105K
- Median share of team pool
- 6.1%
- team pool $775K, 80% range $335K to $1.75M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $39K to $52K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $6K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 34.1%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Grand Canyon: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Grand Canyon | $42Kspeculative | $13K to $105K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +1.6 | +0.2 to +2.9 | Sufficient evidence | +0.7 | +0.9 | +2.3range +1.9 to +2.6 | 1,282 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Grand Canyon | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +0.5 | -0.7 to +1.6 | Sufficient evidence | +0.6 | -0.1 | +1.9range +1.5 to +2.3 | 1,888 | Season detail | |
| 2023 | N Colorado | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -1.4 | -2.6 to -0.2 | Sufficient evidence | -1.0 | -0.4 | +1.4range +1.0 to +1.8 | 1,535 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology