Chris Johnson
UCF · 2025–26 · 31 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
483:44 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 31
- Minutes per game
- 15:36
- Points per game
- 6.4
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 1.4 / 1.9
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 6.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Per 40 minutes | 16.5 | 3.6 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 3.2 |
| Season totals | 199 | 44 | 59 | 16 | 5 | 21 | 39 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 70–159 | 44.0% | 5.1 | 13.1 |
| 2P | 39–75 | 52.0%† | 2.4 | 6.2 |
| 3P | 31–84 | 36.9% | 2.7 | 6.9 |
| FT | 28–40 | 70.0% | 1.3 | 3.3 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.8% | 56.3% | 52.8% | 25.2% | 2.81 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
UCF · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $235K
- 80% range $105K to $385K
- Median share of team pool
- 6.9%
- team pool $3.60M, 80% range $2.55M to $5.00M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $235K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $25K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 36.8%
- Sufficient evidence
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
UCF: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | UCF | $235Kspeculative | $105K to $385K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +1.6 | +0.4 to +2.7 | Sufficient evidence | +1.9 | -0.3 | +2.7range +2.4 to +3.1 | 1,573 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 17:31 | 15:36 | 4:31–27:30 | |
| Points | 6.0 | 6.4 | 0.0–17.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 51.1% | 52.5% | 0.0%–125.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | Arizona | L 59–81 | 21:22 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 55.6% |
| 2026-03-11 | Cincinnati | W 66–65 | 13:52 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2026-03-06 | West Virginia | L 62–77 | 15:35 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 20.0% |
| 2026-03-03 | Oklahoma St. | L 104–111 | 20:52 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 30.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Baylor | L 86–87 | 15:55 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 125.0% |
| 2026-02-24 | BYU | W 97–84 | 27:30 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 75.0% |
| 2026-02-21 | Utah | W 73–71 | 22:14 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026-02-17 | TCU | W 82–71 | 17:55 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-14 | West Virginia | L 67–74 | 20:33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-08 | Cincinnati | L 72–92 | 25:37 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 53.8% |
| 2026-02-04 | Houston | L 55–79 | 14:33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 37.5% |
| 2026-01-31 | Texas Tech | W 88–80 | 16:31 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 60.0% |
| 2026-01-27 | Arizona St. | W 79–76 | 15:05 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 80.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | Colorado | W 95–86 | 15:39 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 83.3% |
| 2026-01-20 | Iowa St. | L 57–87 | 11:07 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Arizona | L 77–84 | 16:22 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 35.7% |
| 2026-01-14 | Kansas St. | W 82–73 | 21:39 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 70.0% |
| 2026-01-11 | Cincinnati | W 73–72 | 25:28 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 100.0% |
| 2026-01-06 | Oklahoma St. | L 76–87 | 15:59 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 33.3% |
| 2026-01-03 | Kansas | W 81–75 | 13:23 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 58.3% |
| 2025-12-23 | Fla. Atlantic | W 85–80 | 7:09 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-20 · NCAA | FGCU | W 102–80 | 17:30 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 71.4% |
| 2025-12-17 | Mercer | W 81–63 | 8:24 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 83.3% |
| 2025-12-07 | Towson | W 86–61 | 10:56 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 70.0% |
| 2025-11-29 | VMI | W 82–57 | 18:25 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 21.4% |
| 2025-11-25 | Quinnipiac | W 102–91 | 11:55 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 78.6% |
| 2025-11-20 | Pittsburgh | W 77–67 | 4:40 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-17 | Oakland | W 87–83 | 6:25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-14 | Texas A&M | W 86–74 | 4:31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-11 | Florida A&M | W 97–60 | 12:38 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 25.0% |
| 2025-11-08 | Vanderbilt | L 93–105 | 14:00 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 81.3% |