Drew Steffe
Southern Ill. · 2025–26 · 31 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
963:05 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 31
- Minutes per game
- 31:04
- Points per game
- 9.9
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.0 / 2.5
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 9.9 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Per 40 minutes | 12.8 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 2.9 |
| Season totals | 308 | 93 | 78 | 28 | 13 | 49 | 70 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 110–272 | 40.4% | 8.8 | 11.3 |
| 2P | 63–114 | 55.3% | 3.7 | 4.7 |
| 3P | 47–158 | 29.7% | 5.1 | 6.6 |
| FT | 41–61 | 67.2% | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.1% | 51.5% | 58.1% | 22.4% | 1.59 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
S Illinois · Mid and high major · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $105K
- 80% range $41K to $245K
- Median share of team pool
- 16.1%
- team pool $635K, 80% range $280K to $1.40M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $95K to $105K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $5K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 77.8%
- Sufficient evidence
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
S Illinois: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | S Illinois | $105Kspeculative | $41K to $245K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +1.9 | +0.9 to +2.9 | Sufficient evidence | +0.1 | +1.8 | +6.1range +5.4 to +6.7 | 3,169 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | S Illinois | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +0.4 | -0.7 to +1.3 | Sufficient evidence | +0.5 | -0.2 | +3.4range +2.9 to +4.0 | 2,056 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 36:51 | 31:04 | 16:24–40:00 | |
| Points | 11.6 | 9.9 | 1.0–24.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 66.5% | 48.3% | 0.0%–100.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | Drake | L 63–67 | 34:43 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3-11 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 27.3% |
| 2026-03-01 | Evansville | W 81–67 | 38:53 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026-02-25 | Indiana St. | W 66–55 | 35:05 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-21 | UNI | W 59–57 | 40:00 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026-02-18 | Drake | W 66–61 | 35:34 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 55.0% |
| 2026-02-15 | Bradley | L 60–70 | 36:33 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3-15 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 20.0% |
| 2026-02-12 | Evansville | W 86–60 | 33:17 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 59.1% |
| 2026-02-09 · NCAA | Indiana St. | W 80–65 | 31:06 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 75.0% |
| 2026-02-06 | Murray St. | L 81–91 | 39:51 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-03 | Illinois St. | W 54–50 | 30:21 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 33.3% |
| 2026-01-31 | UIC | L 66–68 | 32:34 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 21.4% |
| 2026-01-28 | UNI | W 65–50 | 37:11 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 56.3% |
| 2026-01-21 | Valparaiso | L 63–69 | 34:18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 55.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Belmont | L 68–73 | 32:51 | 24 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 9-10 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-14 | Drake | L 73–76 | 31:10 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2-10 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2026-01-07 | UIC | L 57–70 | 23:16 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 30.0% |
| 2026-01-04 | Belmont | W 68–67 | 27:03 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-01 | Valparaiso | W 75–70 | 26:07 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 6-9 | 21.4% |
| 2025-12-29 | Murray St. | L 81–84 | 32:26 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 56.3% |
| 2025-12-21 | Bradley | L 69–73 | 30:11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 22.2% |
| 2025-12-18 | Illinois St. | L 68–75 | 33:31 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 61.5% |
| 2025-12-13 | Richmond | L 84–93 | 30:51 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 22.2% |
| 2025-12-10 | UT Martin | W 83–54 | 24:51 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 37.5% |
| 2025-12-03 | High Point | W 86–84 | 33:33 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 80.0% |
| 2025-11-29 | Little Rock | W 74–65 | 30:44 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 87.5% |
| 2025-11-26 | Memphis | L 58–74 | 16:24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 20.0% |
| 2025-11-24 | UAB | L 73–81 | 31:23 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 33.3% |
| 2025-11-23 | Delaware | W 79–59 | 24:41 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 54.5% |
| 2025-11-17 | North Dakota St. | L 85–92 | 23:29 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-12 | Nevada | L 81–86 | 31:14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 57.1% |
| 2025-11-07 · NCAA | Kansas City | W 101–78 | 19:54 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 87.5% |