Justin Wright
UNC Asheville · 2025–26 · 29 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
987:50 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 29
- Minutes per game
- 34:04
- Points per game
- 17.4
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.0 / 2.9
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 17.4 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| Per 40 minutes | 20.4 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Season totals | 505 | 88 | 85 | 34 | 2 | 73 | 68 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 176–378 | 46.6% | 13.0 | 15.3 |
| 2P | 134–260 | 51.5% | 9.0 | 10.5 |
| 3P | 42–118 | 35.6% | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| FT | 111–141 | 78.7% | 4.9 | 5.7 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.1% | 57.4% | 31.2% | 37.3% | 1.16 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
UNC Asheville · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $37K
- 80% range $13K to $110K
- Median share of team pool
- 22.1%
- team pool $160K, 80% range $57K to $425K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $35K to $45K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $1K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 84.4%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
UNC Asheville: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | UNC Asheville | $37Kspeculative | $13K to $110K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +1.8 | +0.9 to +2.6 | Sufficient evidence | +1.1 | +0.7 | +5.6range +5.1 to +6.1 | 3,103 | Season detail | |
| 2023 | NC Central | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +1.3 | +0.5 to +2.2 | Sufficient evidence | +0.0 | +1.2 | +3.5range +3.0 to +4.2 | 2,403 | Season detail | |
| 2022 | NC Central | None: no budget that season | — | development: in model selection | +0.4 | -0.4 to +1.2 | Sufficient evidence | +0.4 | +0.1 | Not computed for this season | 1,118 |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 38:10 | 34:04 | 21:05–44:11 | |
| Points | 18.0 | 17.4 | 6.0–33.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 55.9% | 53.0% | 25.0%–86.7% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | High Point | L 71–75 | 38:29 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 46.4% |
| 2026-03-06 | Longwood | W 85–82 | 44:11 | 28 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6-11 | 2-7 | 14-18 | 63.6% |
| 2026-02-28 | Charleston So. | L 75–92 | 27:15 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 57.1% |
| 2026-02-26 | Gardner-Webb | W 77–71 | 37:55 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-21 | Radford | W 74–73 | 43:01 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 62.5% |
| 2026-02-19 | High Point | L 48–74 | 25:27 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 27.3% |
| 2026-02-14 | Presbyterian | L 57–58 | 37:01 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4-16 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-12 | Longwood | W 79–74 | 34:31 | 24 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 55.9% |
| 2026-02-04 | USC Upstate | W 76–67 | 21:25 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 66.7% |
| 2026-01-31 | Winthrop | L 71–84 | 38:24 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9-16 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 56.3% |
| 2026-01-29 | Gardner-Webb | W 69–50 | 37:24 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 37.5% |
| 2026-01-21 | USC Upstate | W 83–69 | 32:13 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 53.6% |
| 2026-01-17 | Winthrop | L 67–69 | 35:33 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 45.5% |
| 2026-01-14 | Presbyterian | L 70–71 | 35:07 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 53.3% |
| 2026-01-10 | Radford | W 91–72 | 38:14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 3-7 | 59.1% |
| 2026-01-07 | Longwood | W 72–61 | 21:05 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 66.7% |
| 2026-01-03 | Charleston So. | L 83–86 | 37:37 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5-17 | 2-7 | 10-11 | 35.3% |
| 2025-12-31 | High Point | L 69–87 | 37:18 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 38.2% |
| 2025-12-21 | UAB | L 47–72 | 32:34 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 30.8% |
| 2025-12-13 | St. Thomas (MN) | L 59–80 | 30:36 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 42.3% |
| 2025-12-10 | Miami (OH) | L 87–90 | 38:32 | 26 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10-18 | 3-5 | 3-6 | 63.9% |
| 2025-12-06 | NC State | L 63–75 | 39:12 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7-18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 44.4% |
| 2025-12-02 | UNC Greensboro | W 82–77 | 26:04 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7-12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 70.8% |
| 2025-11-30 | App State | W 67–55 | 33:48 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 33.3% |
| 2025-11-25 | Tennessee St. | L 73–75 | 33:54 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 59.1% |
| 2025-11-19 | Western Caro. | L 73–80 | 31:59 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-4 | 85.7% |
| 2025-11-11 | Lipscomb | W 69–64 | 34:17 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10-15 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 80.0% |
| 2025-11-08 | Ga. Southern | L 90–93 | 26:04 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11-15 | 4-5 | 7-7 | 86.7% |
| 2025-11-04 | Wichita St. | L 58–75 | 38:40 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 40.0% |