Aaron Price, Jr.
Cal Poly · 2025–26 · 19 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
107:25 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 19
- Minutes per game
- 5:39
- Points per game
- 1.8
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 1.0 / 0.2
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Per 40 minutes | 13.0 | 7.1 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 4.1 |
| Season totals | 35 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 11 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 15–29 | 51.7%† | 1.5 | 10.8 |
| 2P | 12–23 | 52.2%† | 1.2 | 8.6 |
| 3P | 3–6 | 50.0%† | 0.3 | 2.2 |
| FT | 2–4 | 50.0%† | 0.2 | 1.5 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.9%† | 56.9%† | 20.7%† | 13.8%† | 0.57 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25); the field-goal floor applies to the derived rates above. Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Cal Poly · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $3K
- 80% range $1K to $11K
- Median share of team pool
- 1.3%
- team pool $300K, 80% range $110K to $790K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $3K to $4K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 8.8%
- Limited evidence
- Limited evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Cal Poly: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Cal Poly | $3Kspeculative | $1K to $11K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -1.3 | -2.0 to -0.6 | Limited evidence | -1.2 | -0.1 | +0.5range +0.5 to +0.6 | 379 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail | |
| 2025 | Cal Poly | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -1.8 | -2.8 to -0.8 | Sufficient evidence | -0.2 | -1.6 | +0.8range +0.6 to +1.0 | 873 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Cal Poly | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -1.1 | -2.1 to -0.2 | Sufficient evidence | -2.0 | +0.9 | +1.0range +0.8 to +1.2 | 1,484 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 3:32 | 5:39 | 0:00–18:13 | |
| Points | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.0–10.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 74.5% | 40.2% | 0.0%–112.5% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | CSU Bakersfield | W 108–76 | 11:27 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 60.0% |
| 2026-03-05 | UC Irvine | L 85–107 | 1:36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-28 | UC San Diego | L 64–80 | 0:00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026-02-12 | UC Irvine | W 79–73 | 2:35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-31 | UC Riverside | W 94–87 | 2:02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-01-29 | CSU Bakersfield | W 104–79 | 18:13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 112.5% |
| 2026-01-22 · NCAA | UC Santa Barbara | L 67–107 | 12:00 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026-01-15 | Hawaii | L 66–86 | 10:33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 60.0% |
| 2026-01-08 | CSUN | L 90–95 | 2:25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-01-03 | Long Beach St. | L 66–74 | 0:59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-12-19 | UCLA | L 87–108 | 3:03 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-12-16 | Montana St. | L 80–83 | 3:58 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-04 | Cal St. Fullerton | W 94–91 | 3:34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-25 | Southeast Mo. St. | L 68–84 | 2:03 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-24 | Northern Ariz. | L 87–93 | 2:10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-14 | Montana | L 82–90 | 8:13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-12 | Colorado St. | L 79–93 | 8:42 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-08 | Seattle U | W 73–71 | 2:14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-03 | Southern California | L 64–94 | 11:38 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |