Niklas Polonowski
Penn · 2025–26 · 22 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
123:21 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 22
- Minutes per game
- 5:36
- Points per game
- 1.1
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 0.5 / 0.2
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Per 40 minutes | 8.1 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 |
| Season totals | 25 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 8–27 | 29.6%† | 1.2 | 8.8 |
| 2P | 2–8 | 25.0%† | 0.4 | 2.6 |
| 3P | 6–19 | 31.6%† | 0.9 | 6.2 |
| FT | 3–7 | 42.9%† | 0.3 | 2.3 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.7%† | 41.6%† | 70.4%† | 25.9%† | 2.50 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25); the field-goal floor applies to the derived rates above. Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Penn · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $0 (assumed opted out)
- 80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)
- Tier
- Low and other
- low evidence
This school did not opt in to House-settlement revenue sharing (Sportico, 2025-07-18), so its modelled pool is exactly zero. Other schools may also have opted out; they are treated as opted in. Assumption "opt-out list": one press article names schools that did not opt in; it is unverified and other schools may differ. Speculative, not observed pay.
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Penn: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
No modelled Team Pool (opted out). Enter a pool of your own.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Penn | $0 (assumed opted out) | 80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data) | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -2.0 | -2.7 to -1.3 | Limited evidence | -0.7 | -1.3 | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.6 | 404 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail | |
| 2025 | Penn | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -2.0 | -3.1 to -0.8 | Sufficient evidence | -1.4 | -0.6 | +0.8range +0.6 to +1.0 | 1,019 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Penn | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +0.5 | -0.5 to +1.5 | Limited evidence | +1.2 | -0.7 | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.6 | 382 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 7:39 | 5:36 | 1:26–15:05 | |
| Points | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.0–6.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 59.2% | 42.6% | 0.0%–150.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Illinois | L 70–105 | 15:05 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 62.5% |
| 2026-03-15 | Yale | W 88–84 | 1:55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-14 | Harvard | W 62–60 | 4:47 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-03-06 | Brown | W 82–61 | 8:29 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 150.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Harvard | W 64–61 | 7:57 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 83.3% |
| 2026-02-27 | Dartmouth | W 80–71 | 5:26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-14 | Cornell | W 82–76 | 5:40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-01-31 | Cornell | W 91–81 | 5:45 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 150.0% |
| 2026-01-30 | Columbia | L 67–72 | 9:34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | Yale | L 60–77 | 9:09 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 150.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Dartmouth | W 84–74 | 6:33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-05 | Princeton | L 76–78 | 1:37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-12-31 | NJIT | W 80–61 | 10:28 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-20 | Rutgers | L 69–70 | 3:15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-08 | Lafayette | W 74–72 | 2:32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-06 | Villanova | L 63–90 | 5:19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-30 | Hofstra | L 60–77 | 1:26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-29 | La Salle | W 73–71 | 2:44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-28 | Merrimack | W 77–65 | 2:49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-21 | Drexel | W 84–68 | 4:17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2025-11-11 | Providence | L 81–106 | 3:26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-09 | American | L 78–84 | 5:08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |