Roddy Gayle Jr.
Michigan · 2025–26 · 39 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
817:59 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 39
- Minutes per game
- 20:58
- Points per game
- 7.3
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.3 / 1.3
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 7.3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Per 40 minutes | 14.0 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 3.0 |
| Season totals | 286 | 128 | 52 | 28 | 20 | 50 | 62 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 101–218 | 46.3% | 5.6 | 10.7 |
| 2P | 80–152 | 52.6% | 3.9 | 7.4 |
| 3P | 21–66 | 31.8% | 1.7 | 3.2 |
| FT | 63–84 | 75.0% | 2.2 | 4.1 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.1% | 56.1% | 30.3% | 38.5% | 1.04 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Michigan · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $170K
- 80% range $51K to $310K
- Median share of team pool
- 4.9%
- team pool $3.60M, 80% range $2.60M to $4.95M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $170K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $25K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 50.7%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Michigan: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Michigan | $170Kspeculative | $51K to $310K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +2.0 | +0.5 to +3.3 | Sufficient evidence | +1.7 | +0.3 | +3.3range +2.8 to +3.8 | 2,829 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Michigan | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +2.5 | +1.1 to +3.7 | Sufficient evidence | +0.8 | +1.7 | +4.8range +4.0 to +5.5 | 3,048 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Ohio St | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +1.7 | +0.4 to +3.2 | Sufficient evidence | +1.4 | +0.3 | +4.4range +3.5 to +5.4 | 3,489 | Season detail | |
| 2023 | Ohio St | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.2 | -1.6 to +1.2 | Sufficient evidence | +0.6 | -0.7 | +1.9range +1.4 to +2.4 | 1,619 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 24:47 | 20:58 | 10:03–29:47 | |
| Points | 8.0 | 7.3 | 0.0–17.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 47.8% | 52.2% | 0.0%–125.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | UConn | W 69–63 | 25:26 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 25.0% |
| 2026-04-04 | Arizona | W 91–73 | 29:47 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 38.9% |
| 2026-03-29 | Tennessee | W 95–62 | 22:03 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 100.0% |
| 2026-03-27 | Alabama | W 90–77 | 26:57 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 75.0% |
| 2026-03-21 | Saint Louis | W 95–72 | 19:40 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-19 | Howard | W 101–80 | 23:01 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026-03-15 | Purdue | L 72–80 | 12:52 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2026-03-14 | Wisconsin | W 68–65 | 26:12 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 25.0% |
| 2026-03-13 | Ohio St. | W 71–67 | 20:29 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 16.7% |
| 2026-03-08 | Michigan St. | W 90–80 | 27:35 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 80.0% |
| 2026-03-05 | Iowa | W 71–68 | 21:51 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 75.0% |
| 2026-02-27 | Illinois | W 84–70 | 10:03 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-24 | Minnesota | W 77–67 | 20:03 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 37.5% |
| 2026-02-21 | Duke | L 63–68 | 20:39 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-17 | Purdue | W 91–80 | 17:26 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-14 | UCLA | W 86–56 | 23:31 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 125.0% |
| 2026-02-11 | Northwestern | W 87–75 | 14:22 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-08 | Ohio St. | W 82–61 | 17:47 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-30 | Michigan St. | W 83–71 | 20:24 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026-01-27 | Nebraska | W 75–72 | 12:14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-23 | Ohio St. | W 74–62 | 21:26 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2026-01-20 | Indiana | W 86–72 | 16:27 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Oregon | W 81–71 | 16:14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 25.0% |
| 2026-01-14 | Washington | W 82–72 | 24:46 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 40.0% |
| 2026-01-10 | Wisconsin | L 88–91 | 26:34 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 45.0% |
| 2026-01-06 | Penn St. | W 74–72 | 22:45 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 27.8% |
| 2026-01-02 | Southern California | W 96–66 | 18:03 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 75.0% |
| 2025-12-29 | McNeese | W 112–71 | 19:33 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-21 | La Salle | W 102–50 | 18:34 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 37.5% |
| 2025-12-13 | Maryland | W 101–83 | 21:55 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 58.3% |
| 2025-12-09 | Villanova | W 89–61 | 19:25 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 44.4% |
| 2025-12-06 | Rutgers | W 101–60 | 21:45 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 71.4% |
| 2025-11-26 | Gonzaga | W 101–61 | 16:21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 100.0% |
| 2025-11-25 | Auburn | W 102–72 | 24:01 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 57.7% |
| 2025-11-24 | San Diego St. | W 94–54 | 21:59 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 83.3% |
| 2025-11-19 | Middle Tenn. | W 86–61 | 16:42 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 40.0% |
| 2025-11-14 | TCU | W 67–63 | 28:42 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 37.5% |
| 2025-11-11 | Wake Forest | W 85–84 | 29:34 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 56.3% |
| 2025-11-03 | Oakland | W 121–78 | 20:51 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 78.6% |