Morez Johnson Jr.
Michigan · 2025–26 · 40 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
999:09 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 40
- Minutes per game
- 24:59
- Points per game
- 13.1
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 7.3 / 1.2
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 13.1 | 7.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.4 |
| Per 40 minutes | 21.0 | 11.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 3.8 |
| Season totals | 524 | 293 | 48 | 27 | 44 | 53 | 94 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 195–313 | 62.3% | 7.8 | 12.5 |
| 2P | 183–278 | 65.8% | 7.0 | 11.1 |
| 3P | 12–35 | 34.3%† | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| FT | 122–156 | 78.2% | 3.9 | 6.2 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64.2% | 68.7% | 11.2% | 49.8% | 0.91 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Michigan · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $450K
- 80% range $295K to $655K
- Median share of team pool
- 12.7%
- team pool $3.60M, 80% range $2.60M to $4.95M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $450K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $25K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 63.0%
- Sufficient evidence
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Michigan: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Michigan | $450Kspeculative | $295K to $655K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +6.3 | +4.8 to +7.7 | Sufficient evidence | +2.2 | +4.1 | +6.3range +5.4 to +7.0 | 3,512 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Illinois | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +4.0 | +2.7 to +5.2 | Sufficient evidence | +1.2 | +2.8 | +3.0range +2.5 to +3.4 | 1,813 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 25:08 | 24:59 | 17:05–32:48 | |
| Points | 11.2 | 13.1 | 3.0–29.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 53.3% | 64.8% | 25.0%–106.3% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | UConn | W 69–63 | 26:44 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 71.4% |
| 2026-04-04 | Arizona | W 91–73 | 24:39 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 42.9% |
| 2026-03-29 | Tennessee | W 95–62 | 22:40 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 66.7% |
| 2026-03-27 | Alabama | W 90–77 | 23:45 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 30.0% |
| 2026-03-21 | Saint Louis | W 95–72 | 27:50 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 55.6% |
| 2026-03-19 | Howard | W 101–80 | 26:51 | 21 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8-8 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 106.3% |
| 2026-03-15 | Purdue | L 72–80 | 23:59 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 60.0% |
| 2026-03-14 | Wisconsin | W 68–65 | 31:59 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 25.0% |
| 2026-03-13 | Ohio St. | W 71–67 | 27:47 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-08 | Michigan St. | W 90–80 | 24:55 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-05 | Iowa | W 71–68 | 28:36 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 77.8% |
| 2026-02-27 | Illinois | W 84–70 | 32:48 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 65.0% |
| 2026-02-24 | Minnesota | W 77–67 | 26:18 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 42.9% |
| 2026-02-21 | Duke | L 63–68 | 28:28 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 55.0% |
| 2026-02-17 | Purdue | W 91–80 | 31:48 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 42.9% |
| 2026-02-14 | UCLA | W 86–56 | 24:09 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 100.0% |
| 2026-02-11 | Northwestern | W 87–75 | 28:34 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 62.5% |
| 2026-02-08 | Ohio St. | W 82–61 | 23:01 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 38.5% |
| 2026-02-05 | Penn St. | W 110–69 | 18:06 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 83.3% |
| 2026-01-30 | Michigan St. | W 83–71 | 28:38 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 57.1% |
| 2026-01-27 | Nebraska | W 75–72 | 28:10 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 91.7% |
| 2026-01-23 | Ohio St. | W 74–62 | 25:47 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026-01-20 | Indiana | W 86–72 | 23:19 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 66.7% |
| 2026-01-17 | Oregon | W 81–71 | 17:05 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 66.7% |
| 2026-01-14 | Washington | W 82–72 | 28:07 | 18 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 53.8% |
| 2026-01-10 | Wisconsin | L 88–91 | 30:04 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 92.9% |
| 2026-01-06 | Penn St. | W 74–72 | 23:38 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-02 | Southern California | W 96–66 | 25:47 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10-12 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 87.5% |
| 2025-12-29 | McNeese | W 112–71 | 20:57 | 24 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 66.7% |
| 2025-12-21 | La Salle | W 102–50 | 19:36 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 66.7% |
| 2025-12-13 | Maryland | W 101–83 | 17:31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-09 | Villanova | W 89–61 | 22:07 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 60.0% |
| 2025-12-06 | Rutgers | W 101–60 | 23:35 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 90.9% |
| 2025-11-26 | Gonzaga | W 101–61 | 23:21 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 83.3% |
| 2025-11-25 | Auburn | W 102–72 | 19:39 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 85.7% |
| 2025-11-24 | San Diego St. | W 94–54 | 22:47 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-19 | Middle Tenn. | W 86–61 | 25:45 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 60.0% |
| 2025-11-14 | TCU | W 67–63 | 23:51 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 45.5% |
| 2025-11-11 | Wake Forest | W 85–84 | 27:03 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-03 | Oakland | W 121–78 | 19:25 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 90.9% |