Sean Craig
Toledo · 2025–26 · 32 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
1026:34 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 32
- Minutes per game
- 32:05
- Points per game
- 11.9
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 7.3 / 1.5
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 11.9 | 7.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Per 40 minutes | 14.8 | 9.0 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| Season totals | 381 | 232 | 47 | 24 | 8 | 35 | 68 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 139–280 | 49.6% | 8.8 | 10.9 |
| 2P | 102–181 | 56.4% | 5.7 | 7.1 |
| 3P | 37–99 | 37.4% | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| FT | 66–89 | 74.2% | 2.8 | 3.5 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.3% | 59.7% | 35.4% | 31.8% | 1.34 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Toledo · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $57K
- 80% range $18K to $165K
- Median share of team pool
- 18.5%
- team pool $305K, 80% range $110K to $825K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $52K to $59K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 79.8%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Toledo: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Toledo | $57Kspeculative | $18K to $165K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +2.6 | +1.1 to +3.7 | Sufficient evidence | +2.1 | +0.5 | +6.9range +6.0 to +7.6 | 3,220 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | IUPUI | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +0.5 | -1.1 to +1.8 | Sufficient evidence | +1.6 | -1.2 | +3.2range +2.5 to +3.8 | 2,758 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 32:48 | 32:05 | 23:48–36:46 | |
| Points | 10.8 | 11.9 | 3.0–21.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 64.2% | 56.9% | 22.2%–91.7% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Akron | L 76–79 | 32:39 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 75.0% |
| 2026-03-13 | Massachusetts | W 77–67 | 35:20 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 91.7% |
| 2026-03-12 | Bowling Green | W 77–76 | 33:32 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 62.5% |
| 2026-03-06 | Buffalo | W 99–78 | 33:54 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-03 | Miami (OH) | L 72–74 | 28:33 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 41.7% |
| 2026-02-28 | Ohio | W 79–67 | 35:24 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 43.8% |
| 2026-02-24 | NIU | W 79–69 | 33:27 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 78.6% |
| 2026-02-21 | Eastern Mich. | W 94–75 | 31:17 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 68.8% |
| 2026-02-14 | Bowling Green | L 70–80 | 28:34 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 44.4% |
| 2026-02-11 | Western Mich. | W 90–79 | 31:58 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | James Madison | L 71–73 | 28:03 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 33.3% |
| 2026-02-03 | Kent St. | L 72–75 | 31:48 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 22.2% |
| 2026-01-31 | Ball St. | W 73–55 | 29:05 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 75.0% |
| 2026-01-27 | Akron | L 81–91 | 28:13 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 66.7% |
| 2026-01-24 | Bowling Green | W 73–72 | 33:04 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 55.0% |
| 2026-01-20 | Massachusetts | L 82–84 | 32:59 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 68.8% |
| 2026-01-16 | Kent St. | L 84–87 | 28:37 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 22.2% |
| 2026-01-13 | Ohio | W 101–85 | 35:44 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 58.3% |
| 2026-01-09 | Miami (OH) | L 73–87 | 32:48 | 16 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 54.2% |
| 2026-01-06 | NIU | W 75–61 | 36:24 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 55.6% |
| 2026-01-03 | Central Mich. | W 78–75 | 35:59 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 75.0% |
| 2025-12-30 | Western Mich. | W 84–79 | 29:53 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 60.0% |
| 2025-12-16 | Michigan St. | L 69–92 | 24:55 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 36.4% |
| 2025-12-13 | Robert Morris | L 70–75 | 34:55 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 38.5% |
| 2025-12-06 | Oakland | L 97–98 | 31:17 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 58.3% |
| 2025-11-26 | Belmont | L 72–87 | 35:01 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 58.3% |
| 2025-11-24 | Troy | W 75–68 | 34:07 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-19 | Youngstown St. | W 92–75 | 34:01 | 18 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 63.6% |
| 2025-11-15 | Detroit Mercy | W 90–83 | 36:46 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 68.8% |
| 2025-11-11 | Wright St. | W 81–71 | 36:07 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 77.3% |
| 2025-11-08 | Marshall | L 73–85 | 23:48 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 80.0% |
| 2025-11-03 | South Alabama | L 74–76 | 28:22 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 35.7% |