Matus Hronsky
Portland · 2025–26 · 29 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
531:43 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 29
- Minutes per game
- 18:20
- Points per game
- 5.6
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.0 / 0.8
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Per 40 minutes | 12.3 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| Season totals | 163 | 57 | 24 | 16 | 6 | 30 | 32 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 59–147 | 40.1% | 5.1 | 11.1 |
| 2P | 33–61 | 54.1%† | 2.1 | 4.6 |
| 3P | 26–86 | 30.2% | 3.0 | 6.5 |
| FT | 19–21 | 90.5%† | 0.7 | 1.6 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.0% | 52.2% | 58.5% | 14.3% | 0.80 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Portland · Mid and high major · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $32K
- 80% range $4K to $105K
- Median share of team pool
- 6.8%
- team pool $605K, 80% range $270K to $1.30M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $30K to $34K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $4K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 40.0%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Portland: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Portland | $32Kspeculative | $4K to $105K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -0.8 | -1.9 to +0.6 | Sufficient evidence | -0.4 | -0.4 | +2.2range +1.8 to +2.5 | 1,634 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Duquesne | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +0.5 | -0.5 to +1.4 | Sufficient evidence | -0.3 | +0.8 | +2.3range +2.0 to +2.8 | 1,644 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Duquesne | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -1.2 | -1.9 to -0.4 | Limited evidence | -0.7 | -0.5 | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.6 | 426 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail | |
| 2023 | Duquesne | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.3 | -1.3 to +1.0 | Limited evidence | +0.7 | -1.0 | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.8 | 529 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 13:33 | 18:20 | 5:35–39:17 | |
| Points | 6.2 | 5.6 | 0.0–27.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 54.0% | 43.6% | 0.0%–150.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | San Francisco | L 65–82 | 9:23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 150.0% |
| 2026-03-06 | Washington St. | W 74–68 | 7:45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-03-05 | Pepperdine | W 77–68 | 7:04 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | San Diego | W 87–74 | 28:59 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 70.0% |
| 2026-02-25 | Gonzaga | L 48–89 | 14:35 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-21 | Seattle U | L 59–71 | 8:16 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-18 | Pepperdine | L 87–95 | 9:05 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-02-11 | San Diego | L 58–71 | 19:38 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | Seattle U | W 54–53 | 7:01 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-04 | Gonzaga | W 87–80 | 5:35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-01-17 | LMU (CA) | W 71–58 | 20:46 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 70.0% |
| 2026-01-14 | Pepperdine | L 63–67 | 15:28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 18.8% |
| 2026-01-10 | Oregon St. | W 82–76 | 18:40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-08 | Pacific | W 90–89 | 39:17 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9-16 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 75.0% |
| 2026-01-04 | San Francisco | L 68–73 | 29:09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-02 | Saint Mary's (CA) | L 57–78 | 22:40 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 33.3% |
| 2025-12-30 | Santa Clara | L 85–92 | 19:14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-28 | Washington St. | L 62–67 | 34:04 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 26.9% |
| 2025-12-22 · NCAA | UC Santa Barbara | L 61–79 | 18:54 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-17 | Oregon | L 69–94 | 25:34 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 70.0% |
| 2025-12-14 | Kent St. | W 88–78 | 9:19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 125.0% |
| 2025-12-01 | Stanford | L 72–94 | 20:58 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 70.0% |
| 2025-11-26 | Long Beach St. | W 93–73 | 23:20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 100.0% |
| 2025-11-23 | St. Thomas (MN) | L 66–76 | 28:55 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-22 | Northern Colo. | L 80–86 | 31:15 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 44.4% |
| 2025-11-21 | Cal St. Fullerton | W 103–85 | 13:26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-15 | Wyoming | L 56–93 | 9:13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-09 | UC Davis | W 67–63 | 10:58 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 25.0% |
| 2025-11-06 | Ark.-Pine Bluff | W 83–74 | 23:12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 50.0% |