Marcus Wilson
UC Davis · 2025–26 · 31 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
829:56 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 31
- Minutes per game
- 26:46
- Points per game
- 12.5
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.1 / 3.9
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 12.5 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Per 40 minutes | 18.7 | 4.7 | 5.9 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Season totals | 387 | 97 | 122 | 33 | 4 | 70 | 70 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 129–302 | 42.7% | 9.7 | 14.6 |
| 2P | 98–206 | 47.6% | 6.6 | 9.9 |
| 3P | 31–96 | 32.3% | 3.1 | 4.6 |
| FT | 98–122 | 80.3% | 3.9 | 5.9 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8% | 54.4% | 31.8% | 40.4% | 1.74 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
UC Davis · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $45K
- 80% range $13K to $140K
- Median share of team pool
- 14.6%
- team pool $315K, 80% range $115K to $820K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $37K to $48K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 66.5%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
UC Davis: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | UC Davis | $45Kspeculative | $13K to $140K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +1.3 | +0.0 to +2.7 | Sufficient evidence | +0.7 | +0.6 | +5.2range +4.4 to +5.9 | 2,685 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 30:18 | 26:46 | 13:41–38:01 | |
| Points | 19.2 | 12.5 | 2.0–30.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 50.0% | 45.1% | 12.5%–85.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | Cal St. Fullerton | L 70–82 | 21:25 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-11 | UC Santa Barbara | W 79–73 | 25:24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 70.0% |
| 2026-03-07 | UC Irvine | L 69–79 | 34:31 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 26.9% |
| 2026-03-05 | Long Beach St. | W 76–70 | 38:01 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 13-18 | 47.2% |
| 2026-02-26 | Hawaii | L 73–77 | 32:07 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 55.9% |
| 2026-02-21 | UC Riverside | W 78–73 | 15:55 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-19 | Cal St. Fullerton | L 92–93 | 31:12 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 22.2% |
| 2026-02-14 | Long Beach St. | W 71–54 | 28:05 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 53.3% |
| 2026-02-12 | UC San Diego | L 51–68 | 24:42 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 43.3% |
| 2026-02-07 | Cal Poly | W 67–58 | 32:46 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 53.1% |
| 2026-02-05 · NCAA | UC Santa Barbara | W 85–75 | 28:42 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 60.7% |
| 2026-01-31 | CSU Bakersfield | W 80–72 | 25:24 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 28.6% |
| 2026-01-29 | CSUN | L 78–94 | 29:17 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 55.6% |
| 2026-01-24 | UC Riverside | W 74–66 | 13:41 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 30.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | UC San Diego | L 74–80 | 31:09 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6-16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 46.9% |
| 2026-01-17 | UC Irvine | W 75–72 | 26:49 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 12.5% |
| 2026-01-15 | Cal St. Fullerton | W 74–69 | 28:35 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 55.6% |
| 2026-01-10 | Cal Poly | L 78–84 | 20:22 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-08 · NCAA | UC Santa Barbara | W 93–86 | 24:24 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 64.3% |
| 2026-01-03 | CSU Bakersfield | L 79–81 | 25:08 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 42.9% |
| 2026-01-01 | CSUN | W 89–80 | 23:59 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6-10 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 85.0% |
| 2025-12-21 | Idaho St. | W 93–83 | 22:22 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 25.0% |
| 2025-12-17 | Seattle U | L 78–79 | 23:47 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 2025-12-13 | Oregon | L 62–104 | 15:41 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 20.0% |
| 2025-12-05 | Hawaii | L 69–75 | 30:20 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 33.3% |
| 2025-11-24 | Louisiana | W 77–56 | 30:11 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 66.7% |
| 2025-11-21 | Colorado | L 79–95 | 30:32 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 63.3% |
| 2025-11-18 | Nevada | W 75–71 | 28:47 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 75.0% |
| 2025-11-14 | Sacramento St. | W 77–73 | 30:40 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 33.3% |
| 2025-11-09 | Portland | L 63–67 | 24:56 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 28.6% |
| 2025-11-05 | North Dakota St. | W 80–68 | 31:02 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 50.0% |