Alex Williams
Duquesne · 2025–26 · 30 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
536:42 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 30
- Minutes per game
- 17:53
- Points per game
- 9.4
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.5 / 0.8
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 9.4 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Per 40 minutes | 20.9 | 7.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| Season totals | 281 | 105 | 23 | 17 | 5 | 34 | 49 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 87–195 | 44.6% | 6.5 | 14.5 |
| 2P | 46–92 | 50.0%† | 3.1 | 6.9 |
| 3P | 41–103 | 39.8% | 3.4 | 7.7 |
| FT | 66–82 | 80.5% | 2.7 | 6.1 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.1% | 60.8% | 52.8% | 42.1% | 0.68 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Duquesne · Mid and high major · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $39K
- 80% range $8K to $105K
- Median share of team pool
- 6.7%
- team pool $705K, 80% range $325K to $1.55M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $36K to $45K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $4K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 43.1%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Duquesne: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Duquesne | $39Kspeculative | $8K to $105K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +0.3 | -0.7 to +1.3 | Sufficient evidence | +1.5 | -1.2 | +2.8range +2.4 to +3.1 | 1,809 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Furman | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +0.2 | -0.8 to +1.4 | Sufficient evidence | +1.0 | -0.9 | +2.1range +1.7 to +2.6 | 1,621 | Season detail | |
| 2023 | Furman | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +0.9 | -0.3 to +2.0 | Sufficient evidence | +1.7 | -0.8 | +1.6range +1.3 to +1.9 | 970 | Season detail | |
| 2022 | Furman | None: no budget that season | — | development: in model selection | -1.5 | -2.2 to -0.8 | Limited evidence | -0.1 | -1.3 | Not computed for this season | 318 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 27:11 | 17:53 | 3:28–31:37 | |
| Points | 15.8 | 9.4 | 0.0–25.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 58.1% | 49.9% | 0.0%–91.7% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | VCU | L 66–71 | 31:37 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8-15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 66.7% |
| 2026-03-12 | Rhode Island | W 67–61 | 31:30 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 53.3% |
| 2026-03-07 | Richmond | W 79–77 | 29:44 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 5-5 | 85.0% |
| 2026-03-04 | Rhode Island | L 52–64 | 23:34 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 35.7% |
| 2026-02-28 | Saint Louis | L 76–91 | 19:28 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-25 | Davidson | L 56–67 | 22:21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 64.3% |
| 2026-02-21 | Dayton | L 66–78 | 26:23 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 40.0% |
| 2026-02-18 | La Salle | W 62–61 | 17:25 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-14 | St. Bonaventure | W 78–73 | 22:36 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | George Washington | W 88–86 | 25:56 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 25.0% |
| 2026-02-04 | George Mason | W 71–65 | 26:16 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 66.7% |
| 2026-02-01 | Rhode Island | W 76–61 | 22:13 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 66.7% |
| 2026-01-28 | St. Bonaventure | L 79–87 | 13:10 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 42.9% |
| 2026-01-24 | Loyola Chicago | W 71–59 | 12:54 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 20.0% |
| 2026-01-20 | Saint Louis | L 77–81 | 18:01 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 16.7% |
| 2026-01-17 | Fordham | W 74–63 | 12:01 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 37.5% |
| 2026-01-13 | Dayton | L 65–71 | 21:51 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 75.0% |
| 2026-01-07 | Saint Joseph's | L 90–97 | 26:16 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 58.3% |
| 2026-01-03 | VCU | L 80–93 | 14:45 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 33.3% |
| 2025-12-30 | Davidson | W 89–83 | 15:48 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 78.6% |
| 2025-12-22 | Canisius | W 103–59 | 16:06 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 91.7% |
| 2025-12-13 | Nevada | L 75–78 | 17:35 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 62.5% |
| 2025-12-10 | Boise St. | L 64–86 | 8:03 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | — |
| 2025-12-06 | Stony Brook | W 84–75 | 9:53 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 83.3% |
| 2025-12-02 | William & Mary | L 79–83 | 12:32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 83.3% |
| 2025-11-22 | Northeastern | L 86–93 | 16:01 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 37.5% |
| 2025-11-19 | Loyola Maryland | W 92–78 | 6:10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 33.3% |
| 2025-11-11 | Queens (NC) | W 87–81 | 3:28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-07 | Sacred Heart | W 92–80 | 9:22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 40.0% |
| 2025-11-03 | Niagara | W 83–63 | 3:43 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0.0% |