Mostapha El Moutaouakkil
Jacksonville St. · 2025–26 · 29 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
882:12 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 29
- Minutes per game
- 30:25
- Points per game
- 19.3
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 7.0 / 1.2
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 19.3 | 7.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Per 40 minutes | 25.3 | 9.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| Season totals | 559 | 202 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 86 | 80 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 180–412 | 43.7% | 14.2 | 18.7 |
| 2P | 146–313 | 46.6% | 10.8 | 14.2 |
| 3P | 34–99 | 34.3% | 3.4 | 4.5 |
| FT | 165–249 | 66.3% | 8.6 | 11.3 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8% | 53.6% | 24.0% | 60.4% | 0.40 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Jacksonville St · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $22K
- 80% range $2K to $79K
- Median share of team pool
- 11.0%
- team pool $270K, 80% range $95K to $730K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $18K to $23K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 75.5%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Jacksonville St: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Jacksonville St | $22Kspeculative | $2K to $79K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -0.5 | -1.7 to +0.8 | Sufficient evidence | -0.2 | -0.3 | +4.6range +4.0 to +5.4 | 2,903 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Louisiana | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.6 | -1.9 to +0.7 | Sufficient evidence | -0.4 | -0.2 | +2.4range +2.0 to +3.0 | 2,272 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 32:56 | 30:25 | 20:23–43:37 | |
| Points | 22.2 | 19.3 | 8.0–38.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 47.0% | 46.9% | 20.0%–73.3% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | New Mexico St. | L 63–68 | 35:33 | 23 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 3-7 | 71.4% |
| 2026-03-07 | UTEP | W 64–61 | 31:25 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 9-13 | 50.0% |
| 2026-03-05 | New Mexico St. | L 75–77 | 28:26 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5-18 | 2-3 | 11-15 | 33.3% |
| 2026-02-28 | Liberty | L 78–81 | 25:40 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6-17 | 2-4 | 7-10 | 41.2% |
| 2026-02-26 | Delaware | W 80–70 | 43:37 | 21 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 38.9% |
| 2026-02-21 | Sam Houston | L 78–82 | 31:32 | 38 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14-23 | 1-6 | 9-12 | 63.0% |
| 2026-02-18 | Louisiana Tech | L 71–77 | 30:56 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 5-7 | 73.3% |
| 2026-02-14 | New Mexico St. | L 70–79 | 29:15 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 23.1% |
| 2026-02-11 | UTEP | L 64–69 | 37:23 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 3-8 | 43.3% |
| 2026-02-07 | Kennesaw St. | W 77–58 | 33:24 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8-18 | 3-7 | 7-12 | 52.8% |
| 2026-02-05 | Western Ky. | W 71–66 | 20:23 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 33.3% |
| 2026-01-31 | Missouri St. | L 67–74 | 33:09 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 37.5% |
| 2026-01-28 | FIU | W 78–74 | 34:29 | 31 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10-18 | 1-2 | 10-15 | 58.3% |
| 2026-01-23 | Middle Tenn. | W 75–58 | 30:47 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 8-11 | 42.9% |
| 2026-01-17 | Louisiana Tech | W 64–60 | 30:27 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 42.9% |
| 2026-01-14 | Sam Houston | L 62–77 | 36:36 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 6-10 | 55.0% |
| 2026-01-10 | Kennesaw St. | L 82–88 | 25:01 | 23 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 59.4% |
| 2026-01-07 | FIU | W 71–64 | 31:19 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-04 | Liberty | L 69–78 | 28:47 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 20.0% |
| 2026-01-02 | Delaware | W 67–64 | 34:14 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 7-11 | 68.2% |
| 2025-12-29 | Western Ky. | W 78–67 | 33:38 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 8-12 | 45.0% |
| 2025-12-20 | ETSU | W 81–75 | 30:46 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 58.3% |
| 2025-12-17 | Eastern Ky. | L 59–62 | 29:34 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5-16 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 31.3% |
| 2025-12-13 | Georgia St. | L 73–77 | 23:57 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 62.5% |
| 2025-12-01 | North Ala. | L 66–73 | 29:30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 3-8 | 53.3% |
| 2025-11-26 | North Dakota St. | L 43–56 | 20:52 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 27.8% |
| 2025-11-24 | Arkansas St. | L 63–74 | 25:28 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 10-16 | 27.3% |
| 2025-11-19 | South Alabama | L 65–71 | 28:42 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 36.4% |
| 2025-11-14 | Coastal Carolina | W 74–67 | 27:22 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11-21 | 3-5 | 8-9 | 59.5% |