Justyn Fernandez
Delaware · 2025–26 · 28 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
1047:06 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 28
- Minutes per game
- 37:24
- Points per game
- 16.6
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 4.6 / 2.1
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 16.6 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 2.3 |
| Per 40 minutes | 17.8 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| Season totals | 465 | 128 | 60 | 25 | 14 | 85 | 64 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 161–365 | 44.1% | 13.0 | 13.9 |
| 2P | 97–206 | 47.1% | 7.4 | 7.9 |
| 3P | 64–159 | 40.3% | 5.7 | 6.1 |
| FT | 79–90 | 87.8% | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.9% | 57.5% | 43.6% | 24.7% | 0.71 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Delaware · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $15K
- 80% range $1K to $90K
- Median share of team pool
- 7.6%
- team pool $355K, 80% range $135K to $950K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $12K to $17K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 85.5%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Delaware: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Delaware | $15Kspeculative | $1K to $90K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -1.8 | -3.0 to -0.6 | Sufficient evidence | -0.3 | -1.5 | +3.7range +3.0 to +4.2 | 3,216 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Providence | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.6 | -1.5 to +0.2 | Limited evidence | +0.3 | -0.8 | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.9 | 526 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail | |
| 2023 | George Mason | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.3 | -1.2 to +0.6 | Sufficient evidence | -0.6 | +0.3 | +1.8range +1.4 to +2.0 | 906 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 38:43 | 37:24 | 30:01–45:00 | |
| Points | 20.0 | 16.6 | 2.0–30.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 46.2% | 51.2% | 9.1%–75.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Louisiana Tech | L 38–81 | 32:39 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10.0% |
| 2026-03-05 | Sam Houston | W 83–80 | 40:00 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9-20 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 60.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Kennesaw St. | L 82–90 | 38:44 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6-16 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-26 | Jacksonville St. | L 70–80 | 42:16 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9-16 | 5-9 | 7-9 | 71.9% |
| 2026-02-21 | Middle Tenn. | L 66–78 | 39:54 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 11-13 | 39.3% |
| 2026-02-18 | Western Ky. | L 87–88 | 45:00 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-14 | Missouri St. | W 76–67 | 39:51 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 9-9 | 63.6% |
| 2026-02-12 | FIU | W 68–66 | 38:56 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 62.5% |
| 2026-02-07 | Middle Tenn. | W 89–88 | 45:00 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7-17 | 5-9 | 8-8 | 55.9% |
| 2026-02-04 | Liberty | L 69–75 | 40:00 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 75.0% |
| 2026-01-31 | UTEP | L 55–70 | 34:44 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1-11 | 0-7 | 7-8 | 9.1% |
| 2026-01-28 | New Mexico St. | W 73–64 | 37:40 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 30.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | Liberty | L 51–67 | 39:43 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 46.7% |
| 2026-01-17 | New Mexico St. | L 68–97 | 36:13 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 54.5% |
| 2026-01-15 | UTEP | L 69–70 | 35:14 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 53.6% |
| 2026-01-10 | Louisiana Tech | L 68–70 | 30:01 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 69.2% |
| 2026-01-08 | Sam Houston | L 60–72 | 37:10 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-04 | Kennesaw St. | W 67–52 | 37:54 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 31.3% |
| 2026-01-02 | Jacksonville St. | L 64–67 | 37:12 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 68.2% |
| 2025-12-29 | Missouri St. | L 43–61 | 36:41 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 30.0% |
| 2025-12-16 | Rider | W 65–57 | 38:21 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 60.0% |
| 2025-12-13 | CSUN | L 66–88 | 32:54 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 61.5% |
| 2025-12-10 | George Washington | W 70–58 | 39:52 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11-21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 64.3% |
| 2025-12-06 | Delaware St. | L 72–75 | 39:00 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8-16 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 65.6% |
| 2025-12-01 | Iona | L 66–89 | 31:03 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 38.9% |
| 2025-11-25 | UNC Greensboro | W 73–60 | 33:08 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-23 | Southern Ill. | L 59–79 | 33:08 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-18 | Saint Peter's | W 81–70 | 34:48 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 63.6% |