Finn Lally
William & Mary · 2025–26 · 24 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
233:49 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 24
- Minutes per game
- 9:45
- Points per game
- 3.8
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 1.9 / 1.0
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 3.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Per 40 minutes | 15.7 | 7.7 | 4.1 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 5.3 |
| Season totals | 92 | 45 | 24 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 31 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 33–67 | 49.3%† | 2.8 | 11.5 |
| 2P | 24–42 | 57.1%† | 1.8 | 7.2 |
| 3P | 9–25 | 36.0%† | 1.0 | 4.3 |
| FT | 17–24 | 70.8%† | 1.0 | 4.1 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56.0%† | 59.3%† | 37.3%† | 35.8%† | 2.00 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25); the field-goal floor applies to the derived rates above. Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
William & Mary · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $10K
- 80% range $3K to $29K
- Median share of team pool
- 3.9%
- team pool $280K, 80% range $105K to $765K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $9K to $11K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 18.9%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
William & Mary: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | William & Mary | $10Kspeculative | $3K to $29K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +0.9 | -0.1 to +1.9 | Sufficient evidence | +1.1 | -0.2 | +1.4range +1.2 to +1.5 | 756 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | William & Mary | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -1.1 | -1.9 to -0.2 | Limited evidence | +0.1 | -1.2 | +0.4range +0.4 to +0.5 | 376 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 12:00 | 9:45 | 3:07–16:28 | |
| Points | 5.8 | 3.8 | 0.0–11.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 68.7% | 57.7% | 0.0%–150.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 · NCAA | Hofstra | L 61–92 | 15:00 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 33.3% |
| 2026-03-07 | Elon | W 72–62 | 14:21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 60.0% |
| 2026-03-03 | Hampton | W 94–85 | 9:46 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 100.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | N.C. A&T | W 91–88 | 10:43 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 83.3% |
| 2026-02-26 | Northeastern | W 84–77 | 10:09 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 66.7% |
| 2026-02-19 | Campbell | L 83–84 | 10:26 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 100.0% |
| 2026-02-14 | Elon | L 78–81 | 12:25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-02-12 · NCAA | Northeastern | W 94–67 | 13:54 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | Hampton | L 74–77 | 16:28 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 100.0% |
| 2026-01-31 | Campbell | L 96–104 | 6:42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-01-29 | Elon | L 76–79 | 8:49 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 87.5% |
| 2026-01-24 | Hofstra | W 89–82 | 3:23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | UNCW | W 77–70 | 3:40 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 83.3% |
| 2026-01-15 | N.C. A&T | W 97–89 | 4:14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | — |
| 2026-01-10 | Drexel | L 58–64 | 7:17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 33.3% |
| 2026-01-08 | Monmouth | L 70–81 | 9:33 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-05 | Col. of Charleston | L 79–88 | 8:14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-31 | Stony Brook | W 76–57 | 7:03 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0.0% |
| 2025-12-29 | Towson | W 84–70 | 12:43 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 91.7% |
| 2025-12-18 | Radford | W 96–83 | 10:51 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 71.4% |
| 2025-11-24 | UTEP | W 74–63 | 3:07 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 150.0% |
| 2025-11-15 | St. John's (NY) | L 60–93 | 7:10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 33.3% |
| 2025-11-11 | Richmond | L 86–90 | 13:19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 75.0% |
| 2025-11-08 | Norfolk St. | W 81–78 | 14:32 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0.0% |