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Larry Hughes II

CSUN · 2025–26 · 31 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance

Logged performance

990:48 minutes logged

Games logged
31
Minutes per game
31:58
Points per game
17.9
Rebounds / assists per game
2.8 / 0.9
Box line on three bases
BasisPtsRebAstStlBlkTOPF
Per game17.92.80.91.50.31.42.9
Per 40 minutes22.43.61.11.90.31.83.7
Season totals55688284784491
Shooting with attempts
ShotMade–att.PctAtt/GAtt/40
FG179–42342.3%13.617.1
2P85–18645.7%6.07.5
3P94–23739.7%7.69.6
FT104–12186.0%3.94.9
Derived rates (computed here from the box line, not published statistics)
eFG%Estimated TS%3PA / FGAFTA / FGAAST / TO
53.4%58.4%56.0%28.6%0.64

Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions

Speculative compensation · 2025–26β

CS Northridge · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.

Speculative best guess
$27K
80% range $5K to $85K
Median share of team pool
13.4%
team pool $245K, 80% range $88K to $645K
Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
$26K to $30K
the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
Floor part
$2K
shared by every player with possessions
Possession share
78.3%
Sufficient evidence
Point and 80% range on the team table's axis. Open circle: limited evidence or floor only.
  • Range driven by assumption, not data

Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.

Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.

Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks

Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.

CS Northridge: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player

No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.

What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ

Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.

Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ

Net points per 100 possessions by season, newest first. The speculative compensation best guess for 2025–26 only sits right after the team, so it is the first figure after the season. Ordered by season, not by value or dollars. Compensation is a best guess of a share of the school’s own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
SeasonTeamSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% rangeSplit roleNetRangeEvidenceRange graphic. Position on one axisOffenseDefenseWins above replacementOn-court possessionsSample and flags
2026CS Northridge$27Kspeculative$5K to $85Kdescriptive: not used in fit or gates+0.3-0.8 to +1.6Sufficient evidence+0.9-0.6+5.6range +5.0 to +6.33,435Season detail
2024St LouisNone: no budget that season—evaluation: examined, post hoc-0.8-2.1 to +0.6Sufficient evidence+0.4-1.2+1.8range +1.4 to +2.32,194Season detail
2023St LouisNone: no budget that season—evaluation: examined, post hoc-0.0-0.8 to +0.7Limited evidence+0.3-0.3+0.8range +0.6 to +0.9584Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail

Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology

Game log

Game log, box line per game. eFG% is computed for the game from field goals and three-pointers; it is blank without a field-goal attempt.
DateOpponentResultMinPtsRebAstStlBlkTOPFFG3PFTeFG
2026-03-13UC IrvineL 78–9338:3421200130-30-12-30.0%
2026-03-12UC San DiegoW 80–7039:203431000114-256-160-068.0%
2026-03-07Cal St. FullertonL 77–9037:49214130406-132-77-853.8%
2026-03-05CSU BakersfieldW 86–8432:36144021334-182-104-427.8%
2026-02-28UC RiversideL 84–9535:0387000143-151-81-123.3%
2026-02-26UC IrvineL 67–6830:20121130042-81-47-731.3%
2026-02-21Long Beach St.W 78–7626:1845000041-101-41-215.0%
2026-02-19UC Santa BarbaraW 85–8338:00123100053-111-75-531.8%
2026-02-14HawaiiW 84–6029:48271220038-145-66-675.0%
2026-02-07UC RiversideW 88–7432:16182001127-123-51-170.8%
2026-02-05Cal PolyW 97–9632:193240105312-206-102-375.0%
2026-01-31UC San DiegoW 81–6426:21113311144-113-60-050.0%
2026-01-29UC DavisW 94–7832:52175010136-104-71-380.0%
2026-01-25HawaiiL 68–8928:51192021137-203-102-342.5%
2026-01-17Long Beach St.L 80–8734:36212010235-132-69-1046.2%
2026-01-15UC San DiegoW 84–7931:56131020134-142-63-335.7%
2026-01-10Cal St. FullertonL 79–8633:03133102244-193-122-328.9%
2026-01-03 · NCAAUC Santa BarbaraW 74–6534:54232241127-152-97-753.3%
2026-01-01UC DavisL 80–8935:30172020224-104-95-660.0%
2025-12-27StanfordL 80–8831:46263140239-146-102-285.7%
2025-12-22Sacramento St.W 100–8825:44182200046-102-44-470.0%
2025-12-13DelawareW 88–6634:42237351317-173-116-650.0%
2025-12-10Fresno St.W 89–8736:522521301410-163-92-271.9%
2025-12-06UC IrvineL 71–8529:35180120046-164-62-350.0%
2025-12-04CSU BakersfieldW 87–6634:29276540328-165-126-865.6%
2025-11-28Idaho St.L 50–8227:3573100242-151-82-216.7%
2025-11-26IdahoL 64–7826:47170020145-133-74-450.0%
2025-11-16TroyW 94–8526:21155000224-93-44-561.1%
2025-11-11North Dakota St.L 68–9035:46182010206-133-83-357.7%
2025-11-09 · NCAANorth DakotaW 93–8521:36231010257-96-73-4111.1%
2025-11-06UNIL 57–8629:09212010028-144-81-371.4%