Mikey Williams
Sacramento St. · 2025–26 · 18 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
643:23 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 18
- Minutes per game
- 35:45
- Points per game
- 18.1
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.9 / 4.1
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 18.1 | 2.9 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 3.0 | 2.2 |
| Per 40 minutes | 20.2 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
| Season totals | 325 | 53 | 73 | 22 | 6 | 54 | 39 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 93–258 | 36.0% | 14.3 | 16.0 |
| 2P | 75–187 | 40.1% | 10.4 | 11.6 |
| 3P | 18–71 | 25.4% | 3.9 | 4.4 |
| FT | 121–145 | 83.4% | 8.1 | 9.0 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5% | 50.5% | 27.5% | 56.2% | 1.35 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
CS Sacramento · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $13K
- 80% range $1K to $62K
- Median share of team pool
- 7.7%
- team pool $300K, 80% range $105K to $785K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $10K to $14K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 58.0%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
CS Sacramento: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CS Sacramento | $13Kspeculative | $1K to $62K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -1.5 | -2.3 to -0.5 | Sufficient evidence | +0.1 | -1.7 | +2.4range +2.1 to +2.7 | 2,360 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | UCF | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -1.2 | -2.4 to +0.4 | Sufficient evidence | +0.1 | -1.3 | +0.8range +0.6 to +1.0 | 951 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 37:29 | 35:45 | 26:51–40:00 | |
| Points | 15.6 | 18.1 | 4.0–34.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 31.1% | 37.0% | 0.0%–75.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Portland St. | L 73–74 | 38:07 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4-15 | 2-4 | 16-18 | 33.3% |
| 2026-02-02 | Weber St. | W 104–90 | 35:36 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 43.8% |
| 2026-01-31 | Montana | W 86–79 | 36:51 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 28.6% |
| 2026-01-29 | Montana St. | W 83–80 | 36:49 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-24 | Eastern Wash. | L 67–75 | 40:00 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | Idaho | L 76–86 | 26:51 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 30.8% |
| 2026-01-10 | Portland St. | L 69–96 | 29:43 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9-20 | 0-3 | 11-14 | 45.0% |
| 2026-01-03 | Weber St. | L 82–95 | 39:11 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 6-11 | 55.6% |
| 2026-01-01 | Idaho St. | L 84–97 | 35:52 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13-23 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 63.0% |
| 2025-12-22 | CSUN | L 88–100 | 36:53 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6-21 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 28.6% |
| 2025-12-20 | California Baptist | L 67–74 | 33:03 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7-23 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 34.8% |
| 2025-12-02 | Baylor | L 88–110 | 35:00 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 5-19 | 1-7 | 10-12 | 28.9% |
| 2025-11-29 | Pacific | L 54–68 | 38:49 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 26.7% |
| 2025-11-21 | California | L 67–91 | 32:44 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 22.7% |
| 2025-11-18 | UCLA | L 48–79 | 34:15 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2-14 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 14.3% |
| 2025-11-16 | Presbyterian | W 64–62 | 35:52 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 42.9% |
| 2025-11-14 | UC Davis | L 73–77 | 38:33 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 42.9% |
| 2025-11-11 | UC Santa Barbara | L 87–92 | 39:14 | 30 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10-16 | 4-7 | 6-8 | 75.0% |