Ethan Roberts
Penn · 2025–26 · 22 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
684:59 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 22
- Minutes per game
- 31:08
- Points per game
- 16.4
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 3.9 / 2.4
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 16.4 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| Per 40 minutes | 21.1 | 5.0 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| Season totals | 361 | 86 | 53 | 20 | 3 | 40 | 54 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 109–281 | 38.8% | 12.8 | 16.4 |
| 2P | 73–187 | 39.0% | 8.5 | 10.9 |
| 3P | 36–94 | 38.3% | 4.3 | 5.5 |
| FT | 107–133 | 80.5% | 6.0 | 7.8 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.2% | 53.2% | 33.5% | 47.3% | 1.32 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Penn · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $0 (assumed opted out)
- 80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)
- Tier
- Low and other
- low evidence
This school did not opt in to House-settlement revenue sharing (Sportico, 2025-07-18), so its modelled pool is exactly zero. Other schools may also have opted out; they are treated as opted in. Assumption "opt-out list": one press article names schools that did not opt in; it is unverified and other schools may differ. Speculative, not observed pay.
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Penn: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
No modelled Team Pool (opted out). Enter a pool of your own.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Penn | $0 (assumed opted out) | 80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data) | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +0.8 | -0.1 to +1.8 | Sufficient evidence | +1.3 | -0.5 | +3.9range +3.5 to +4.3 | 2,329 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Penn | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.0 | -1.0 to +0.9 | Sufficient evidence | +1.2 | -1.2 | +2.5range +2.1 to +2.8 | 2,524 | Season detail | |
| 2023 | Army | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +3.1 | +1.8 to +4.5 | Sufficient evidence | +1.6 | +1.5 | +5.0range +4.1 to +5.7 | 2,768 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 29:18 | 31:08 | 15:16–38:15 | |
| Points | 14.6 | 16.4 | 0.0–31.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 41.3% | 41.2% | 0.0%–70.0% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | Brown | W 82–61 | 28:28 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-28 | Harvard | W 64–61 | 31:27 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9-22 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 43.2% |
| 2026-02-27 | Dartmouth | W 80–71 | 25:59 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 33.3% |
| 2026-02-21 | Yale | L 70–74 | 32:16 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 41.7% |
| 2026-02-14 | Cornell | W 82–76 | 28:18 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 38.5% |
| 2026-02-13 | Columbia | W 76–67 | 29:15 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-07 | Princeton | W 61–60 | 24:38 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2026-01-31 | Cornell | W 91–81 | 37:14 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 6-7 | 42.3% |
| 2026-01-30 | Columbia | L 67–72 | 29:03 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 31.3% |
| 2026-01-24 | Yale | L 60–77 | 30:55 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-19 | Harvard | L 63–64 | 35:42 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 70.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Dartmouth | W 84–74 | 37:46 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8-22 | 4-9 | 5-7 | 45.5% |
| 2026-01-10 | Brown | W 81–73 | 34:13 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 12-14 | 57.1% |
| 2026-01-05 | Princeton | L 76–78 | 38:15 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 45.8% |
| 2025-12-06 | Villanova | L 63–90 | 15:16 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0.0% |
| 2025-11-30 | Hofstra | L 60–77 | 28:01 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5-13 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 50.0% |
| 2025-11-29 | La Salle | W 73–71 | 31:16 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3-14 | 1-4 | 5-9 | 25.0% |
| 2025-11-28 | Merrimack | W 77–65 | 34:54 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 40.9% |
| 2025-11-21 | Drexel | W 84–68 | 35:36 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11-18 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 66.7% |
| 2025-11-17 | Saint Joseph's | W 83–74 | 33:27 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 12-14 | 63.3% |
| 2025-11-11 | Providence | L 81–106 | 32:50 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4-16 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 34.4% |
| 2025-11-09 | American | L 78–84 | 30:10 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 11-14 | 28.6% |