Johnathan Lawson
Little Rock · 2025–26 · 29 available game logs · Speculative compensation · Model-implied values by season · Linked seasons and observed career performance
Logged performance
1046:40 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 29
- Minutes per game
- 36:06
- Points per game
- 15.7
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 4.0 / 4.0
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 15.7 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| Per 40 minutes | 17.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| Season totals | 456 | 116 | 115 | 48 | 21 | 62 | 58 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 147–377 | 39.0% | 13.0 | 14.4 |
| 2P | 77–176 | 43.8% | 6.1 | 6.7 |
| 3P | 70–201 | 34.8% | 6.9 | 7.7 |
| FT | 92–112 | 82.1% | 3.9 | 4.3 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.3% | 53.5% | 53.3% | 29.7% | 1.85 |
Accepted logged appearances only; absent games are not zeroes. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Ark Little Rock · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $11K
- 80% range $1K to $57K
- Median share of team pool
- 10.5%
- team pool $180K, 80% range $69K to $505K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $10K to $14K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 90.8%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Ark Little Rock: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
What-If Calculator · Speculativeβ
Re-runs the 4,000 joint draws with your inputs. The address saves your inputs.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Ark Little Rock | $11Kspeculative | $1K to $57K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -1.6 | -2.6 to -0.3 | Sufficient evidence | +0.0 | -1.6 | +4.1range +3.6 to +4.7 | 3,437 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Ark Little Rock | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +1.1 | +0.3 to +2.1 | Sufficient evidence | +0.6 | +0.5 | +5.2range +4.5 to +6.1 | 3,419 | Season detail | |
| 2023 | Memphis | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +0.1 | -1.5 to +1.4 | Sufficient evidence | +0.9 | -0.9 | +1.3range +0.9 to +1.7 | 1,376 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology
Game log
| Measure | Graphic | Last five | Listed games | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minutes | 37:06 | 36:06 | 19:47–40:00 | |
| Points | 14.8 | 15.7 | 3.0–33.0 | |
| Game eFG% | 44.8% | 48.0% | 27.3%–84.2% |
| Date | Opponent | Result | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF | FG | 3P | FT | eFG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Lindenwood | L 62–72 | 38:10 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 6-20 | 0-5 | 5-7 | 30.0% |
| 2026-02-26 | Morehead St. | L 70–76 | 33:09 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 81.3% |
| 2026-02-21 | Southeast Mo. St. | L 65–70 | 37:38 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 9-10 | 27.3% |
| 2026-02-19 | UT Martin | W 67–65 | 40:00 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 55.6% |
| 2026-02-14 | Eastern Ill. | L 72–78 | 36:34 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 30.0% |
| 2026-02-12 | Western Ill. | W 77–58 | 39:22 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 39.3% |
| 2026-02-07 | SIUE | L 61–71 | 19:47 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6-18 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 41.7% |
| 2026-02-05 | Lindenwood | L 74–79 | 40:00 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9-20 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2026-02-03 | UT Martin | L 52–55 | 36:47 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 44.4% |
| 2026-01-31 | Tennessee Tech | L 77–87 | 39:16 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 37.5% |
| 2026-01-29 | Tennessee St. | L 63–70 | 37:14 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 61.5% |
| 2026-01-22 | Southeast Mo. St. | L 65–70 | 39:58 | 21 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7-19 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-17 | Western Ill. | W 86–79 | 36:30 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6-15 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 60.0% |
| 2026-01-15 | Eastern Ill. | W 74–63 | 35:44 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-10 | Lindenwood | W 82–74 | 38:47 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 56.7% |
| 2026-01-08 | SIUE | W 73–70 | 40:00 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 10-10 | 50.0% |
| 2026-01-03 | Tennessee St. | L 79–84 | 39:57 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 7-8 | 40.6% |
| 2026-01-01 | Tennessee Tech | W 77–58 | 36:49 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 61.5% |
| 2025-12-18 | Southern Ind. | W 77–62 | 34:16 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 5-7 | 43.3% |
| 2025-12-16 | Morehead St. | L 64–78 | 39:09 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 33.3% |
| 2025-12-09 | West Virginia | L 58–90 | 36:10 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2025-12-06 | Arkansas St. | L 78–90 | 39:36 | 33 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13-19 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 84.2% |
| 2025-12-03 | Central Ark. | L 47–85 | 27:32 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 35.7% |
| 2025-11-29 | Southern Ill. | L 65–74 | 39:52 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6-15 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 53.3% |
| 2025-11-21 | Texas St. | L 56–65 | 38:04 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 36.4% |
| 2025-11-18 | Murray St. | L 68–89 | 33:10 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 46.4% |
| 2025-11-15 | Ball St. | W 68–62 | 36:35 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 46.2% |
| 2025-11-12 | Marquette | L 49–89 | 23:21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 30.0% |
| 2025-11-10 | Milwaukee | L 72–92 | 33:13 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 66.7% |