Mercyhurst

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Mercyhurst, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Qadir Martin	78.3%	+0.6range -0.5 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	+5.4range +4.8 to +6.1Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Bernie Blunt	77.7%	-0.9range -1.9 to +0.1Sufficient evidence	+4.6range +4.0 to +5.2Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Jake Lemelman	76.2%	-0.4range -1.1 to +0.5Sufficient evidence	+4.8range +4.2 to +5.3Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	54.1%	+0.9range -0.4 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	+3.9range +3.3 to +4.4Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Christian Gamble	52.6%	-0.3range -1.5 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	+3.3range +2.8 to +3.9Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Mykolaus Ivanauskas	47.7%	+1.1range -0.0 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	+3.5range +3.0 to +4.0Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Cameron Johnson	30.6%	-1.0range -2.1 to +0.1Sufficient evidence	+1.8range +1.5 to +2.1Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Sean Lang	28.4%	+0.6range -0.7 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	+2.0range +1.7 to +2.3Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Kaden Fuhrmann	26.8%	-0.2range -1.3 to +0.9Sufficient evidence	+1.7range +1.5 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
James Thomas	23.1%	-0.1range -1.4 to +1.1Sufficient evidence	+1.5range +1.3 to +1.7Sufficient evidence	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Vladimir Pavlovic	1.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Or Faran Frenkel	1.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Brady Conner	0.9%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading
Christopher Leman	0.7%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$0 (assumed opted out)Loading	80% range $0 to $0 (assumption, not data)Loading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $0 (assumed opted out); 80% Range $0 to $0 (assumed)
Tier: Low and other; low evidence

Assumed from one unverified press article that names schools that did not opt in. Methodology

No player figures. The Team Pool is $0.

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Mercyhurst University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,337,695	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$1,337,695
Athletics department expenses	$19,266,526
Athletics department revenue	$19,408,337

Coverage and exclusions

30 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

2 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$1,337,695	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$1,337,695	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
2 days	9
3 or more days	22

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	1
Longest run of consecutive away games	6

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology