W Carolina

2026 · descriptive season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for W Carolina, 2026: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
Player	Possession share	Net and range	Wins above replacement and range	Speculative compensation (best guess)	Compensation 80% range
Cord Stansberry	76.2%	+0.9range +0.0 to +1.8Sufficient evidence	+4.5range +4.1 to +5.0Sufficient evidence	$31KspeculativeLoading	$10K to $97KLoading
Marcus Kell	74.9%	-0.4range -1.4 to +0.6Sufficient evidence	+3.9range +3.4 to +4.4Sufficient evidence	$16KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $56KLoading
Tidjiane Dioumassi	59.9%	+0.2range -1.5 to +1.4Sufficient evidence	+3.4range +2.7 to +3.9Sufficient evidence	$17KspeculativeLoading	$2K to $59KLoading
Julien Soumaoro	56.8%	-1.8range -3.2 to -0.5Sufficient evidence	+2.6range +2.0 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	$6KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $29KLoading
Tahlan Pettway	50.7%	+1.6range +0.4 to +2.9Sufficient evidence	+3.3range +2.8 to +3.7Sufficient evidence	$30KspeculativeLoading	$9K to $100KLoading
Samuel Dada	49.8%	+1.3range -0.0 to +2.5Sufficient evidence	+3.1range +2.7 to +3.5Sufficient evidence	$24KspeculativeLoading	$7K to $83KLoading
Abdulai Fanta Kabba	40.6%	+1.4range +0.1 to +2.8Sufficient evidence	+2.6range +2.3 to +3.0Sufficient evidence	$22KspeculativeLoading	$6K to $77KLoading
Justin Johnson	35.5%	-1.4range -2.5 to -0.1Sufficient evidence	+1.7range +1.4 to +2.0Sufficient evidence	$5KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $23KLoading
Tayeshaun Smith	22.5%	-1.0range -1.6 to -0.2Sufficient evidence	+1.1range +1.0 to +1.3Sufficient evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $16KLoading
CJ Hyland	21.8%	-0.8range -1.7 to -0.2Sufficient evidence	+1.1range +1.0 to +1.2Sufficient evidence	$4KspeculativeLoading	$1K to $16KLoading
Fischer Brown	5.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading
Chase McKey	2.6%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading
Vernon Collins	2.5%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading
Drew Hollifield	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading
Max Williams	0.3%	Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence	Not applicable	$1Kspeculative, floor onlyLoading	$0 to $4KLoading

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Team pool and per-player compensation · 2025–26β

Team Pool: $195K; 80% Range $71K to $520K
Tier: Low and other; low evidence
Team Pool, Scenarios Z1 to Z4: $190K to $195K; Scenario medians
Players with Figures: 15; 5 floor only

Players in possession-share order
Player	Poss. Share	Speculative Best Guess	80% Range	Median % of Team Pool	Scenarios Z1 to Z4	Floor Part	Evidence and Flags
Cord Stansberry	76.2%	$31K	$10K to $97K	16.5%	$31K to $32K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Marcus Kell	74.9%	$16K	$2K to $56K	11.3%	$16K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tidjiane Dioumassi	59.9%	$17K	$2K to $59K	10.9%	$17K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Julien Soumaoro	56.8%	$6K	$1K to $29K	4.4%	$5K to $6K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tahlan Pettway	50.7%	$30K	$9K to $100K	14.0%	$29K to $30K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Samuel Dada	49.8%	$24K	$7K to $83K	12.2%	$24K to $25K	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Abdulai Fanta Kabba	40.6%	$22K	$6K to $77K	10.5%	$22K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Justin Johnson	35.5%	$5K	$1K to $23K	4.0%	$5K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Tayeshaun Smith	22.5%	$4K	$1K to $16K	3.0%	$4K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
CJ Hyland	21.8%	$4K	$1K to $16K	3.0%	$4K in all four	$1K	Sufficient evidenceRange driven by assumption, not data
Fischer Brown	5.6%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Chase McKey	2.6%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Vernon Collins	2.5%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Drew Hollifield	0.3%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Max Williams	0.3%	$1K	$0 to $4K	0.7%	$1K in all four	$1K	Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimateRange driven by assumption, not data
Team Pool	—	$195K	$71K to $520K	100%	$190K to $195K	—

What-if calculator on the team page

School Finances · School-Reported (EADA)

Self-reported to the U.S. Department of Education. Expenses cover coaching, travel, aid and operations, not player pay.

School-reported finances, 2024-25, Western Carolina University (NCAA Division I-FCS)
Measure	School-Reported Amount	Note
Men's basketball revenue	$1,508,101	Equals expenses (budget identity)
Men's basketball expenses	$1,508,101
Athletics department expenses	$16,279,007
Athletics department revenue	$16,279,007

Coverage and exclusions

28 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (97%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

1 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (alternate pairing to repo season 2026; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue	$1,508,101	Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses	$1,508,101	Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest days	Games
First game (no rest value)	1
1 day	1
3 or more days	27

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days	1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent	0
Longest run of consecutive away games	5

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology